林中斌 部落格 / Blog Chong-Pin Lin

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20120323The Chinese Communist Party and Its Emerging Next-Generation Leaders 

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不過則不破-許雅婷

靜正反動 為道之用-周道斌

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20120426 中華人民和國外交專題、中國戰略理論與應用、中共外交政策當週講義(Assignment Reading)

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Attention:To students who major the course of  PRC Foreign Relations 

The assignment of 4/25

To compare two articles:

1. Chong-Pin Lin, “Beijing’s Agile Tactics on Taiwan”

http://blog.yam.com/CPLin/article/27413594

2. Chong-Pin Lin, “More Carrot Than Stick: Beijing’s Emerging Taiwan Policy”

http://blog.yam.com/CPLin/article/24300068

20120421 胡錦濤最大敵人的老闆就坐在胡身旁
 

    一年又八個月前，我寫道：「胡錦濤最大的敵人是地方貪腐官員。若不遏止，民怨上升，結合領袖間的政治鬥爭，將亡黨亡國。

但這些人關係盤根錯節，後台老闆可能在政治局，就坐在胡錦濤身旁。胡投鼠忌器，只能先鞏固自身權力，等時機，找代理人徐圖之。」

    薄熙來事件爆發後，我們看到他後台老闆是正是坐在胡錦濤身旁中共九個政治局常委之一的周永康。而拉下薄熙來和堅決對抗周永康的人正是與胡錦濤皆有胡耀邦的淵源的溫家寶，也可說是胡錦濤的代理人。

林中斌  2012年4月21日