目前日期文章:201003 (19)

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體例心得


Effetive Formating


如何贏得注意


How to Win Over Your Reader

                           
                           林中斌

Chong-Pin Lin
2008.4.21- 5.2/revision 2010.3.29



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韓岡明 大國崛起




 
 

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體例特點: 美國防部軍力報告2009


Format Characteristics: Pentagon


: Military Power of the PRC 2009

 

林中斌 2009.4.6 Chong-Pin Lin April 6, 2009


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China may overtake the U.S. economy
sooner than expected.




CHONG-PIN LIN
Former Deputy Defense Minister, Taiwan, and Professor,
Graduate Institute of International Affairs and Strategic
Studies, Tamkang University in Taipei


Since the end of the 1990s, China’s economy has continued to outperform pessimistic forecasts. Several factors favoring the country’s resilient growth have been under-appreciated. First, for an expanding economy, China’s is the largest in scale in human history. Rules in textbooks based on past observations of comparatively smaller economies do not apply. For example, while the global financial crisis in late 2008 hit China’s export-oriented coastal provinces, the inland provinces were hardly affected by the economic downturn of the outside world. The latter then worked as a cushion for the slowdown of China’s economy which began to rebound by mid-2009.

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中華生命電磁科學學會會員大會暨

2010年「身、心、靈科學」研討會


時間:
99424(星期六)
地點:東吳大學 第一教研大樓一樓 普仁講堂

 

                                                                             

                  報名檔案下載請按此

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林中斌:崛起經濟 規模空前 課本失靈

林中斌

07年二月倫敦經濟學人編輯Z先生來台請我用餐。我說:「1998年十月底貴刊封面故事說中國經濟將崩潰,而且廣徵博引專書。我現在仍在等待預言實現。」他答:「不好意思,那是我寫的。」

我解釋:「有人類歷史以來,從未經歷如此大規模的經濟快速崛起。所以教科書恐怕不再全然適用。」四月,他寄來新出的雜誌,金龍封面,附紙條說「我們已修正看法了。」

中國經濟復甦

08年八月底,世界金融風暴衝擊,大陸經濟已連五季度下滑。前摩根士丹利經濟學家謝國忠說:「大陸經濟奧運泡沫破未來十二個月出口可能會繼續下降。」相當悲觀!我說:「大陸經濟會下滑,但不致太糟。」(聯合新聞網08825


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標題: Don't Break the Engagement.

作者: Economy, Elizabeth, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, May/Jun2004, 83, 刊號 3



Don't Break the Engagement



 

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for downloading

 

 

 

STAYING THE COURSE ON CHINA

AFTER ALMOST three years of calm, the American debate over China policy is set to heat up again. Like Bill Clinton, George W. Bush came into office pushing for a tougher approach to Beijing. And like his predecessor, Bush soon changed his tune. But if the Clinton administration's shift reflected a deep-rooted embrace of the logic of engagement, the Bush administration's shift has appeared more tactical, reflecting a realist appreciation for alliances of convenience during times of crisis. Now that the initial and most urgent phases of the war on terrorism have passed, China policy is likely to find its way back onto the agenda of hard-liners who consider the country a strategic competitor. They are likely to be joined by those who think that tough talk about trade deficits and China's human rights violations makes for good campaign politics. With the bilateral trade deficit now at $120 billion, Beijing's reported backsliding on human rights, and its heavy-handed diplomacy with Hong Kong and Taiwan, 2004 could be a banner year for the critics of engagement. Yet a return to China bashing and to a strategy of containment would be a mistake. The past 30 years have demonstrated that engagement works--if not exactly in the way its advocates predicted

 

 

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標題: China's Search for Stability With America.

作者: Wang Jisi, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Sep/Oct2005, 84, 刊號 5

 

China's Search for Stability With America



 

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AFTER 9/11


THE UNITED STATES is currently the only country with the capacity and the ambition to exercise global primacy, and it will remain so for a long time to come. This means that the United States is the country that can exert the greatest strategic pressure on China. Although in recent years Beijing has refrained from identifying Washington as an adversary or criticizing its "hegemonism"--a pejorative Chinese code word for U.S. dominance--many Chinese still view the United States as a major threat to their nation's security and domestic stability.

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標題: China's New Diplomacy.
作者: Medeiros, Evan S., Fravel, M. Taylor, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Nov/Dec2003, 82, 刊號

6

China's New Diplomacy

 

 

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VICTIM NO MORE

 

 

THIS SUMMER, as the nuclear crisis in North Korea intensified, most eyes were focused on the adversaries in Washington and Pyongyang.

Less noticed, but no less important, was the role of a third player: Beijing. China, long reticent on matters of foreign policy, had boldly stepped into the fray, suspending crucial oil shipments to North Korea, sending high-level envoys to Pyongyang, and shifting troops around the Sino-Korean border. It was China that arranged the tripartite talks held in Beijing in April. And China has not let up the pressure since.

 

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標題: China Takes Off.

作者: Hale, David, Hughes Hale, Lyric, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Nov/Dec2003, 82, 刊號 6

HTML 全文

 

 

China Takes Off

 

CHINA'S ECONOMIC EXPLOSION

 

FEW NATIONS have changed as fast--or as dramatically--as China has since the 1970s. The world's most populous nation has radically liberalized its economy and gone from producing low-quality and simple exports to sophisticated high-technology goods, while nurturing a vibrant private sector and attracting nearly $500 billion in foreign direct investment (FDI). The country has turned into a formidable exporting machine: China's total exports grew eightfold--to over $380 billion--between 1990 and 2003; and its exports in the electronics industry now account for 30 percent of Asia's total in that sector. China's share of global exports will reach 6 percent in 2003, compared to 3.9 percent in 2000. Last year, China accounted for 16 percent of the growth in the world economy, ranking second only to the United States.

 

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標題: The New New World Order.

作者: Drezner, Daniel W., Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Mar/Apr2007, 86, 刊號 2HTML 全文

 

The New New World Order

 

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RISING AND FALLING

 

THROUGHOUT THE twentieth century, the list of the world's great powers was predictably short: the United States, the Soviet Union, Japan, and northwestern Europe. The twenty-first century will be different. China and India are emerging as economic and political heavyweights: China holds over a trillion dollars in hard currency reserves, India's high-tech sector is growing by leaps and bounds, and both countries, already recognized nuclear powers, are developing blue-water navies. The National Intelligence Council, a U.S. government think tank, projects that by 2025, China and India will have the world's second- and fourth-largest economies, respectively. Such growth is opening the way for a multipolar era in world politics.

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名家觀點/三前提不變北京會持續柔軟

 

http://www.udn.com/2010/3/6/NEWS/MAINLAND/MAI1/5457455.shtml

大陸國務院總理溫家寶在全國人大報告中指出,要建立具兩岸特色的經濟合作機制。我認為,此一談話延續了北京近年不斷來對台釋出利多、以爭取台灣民心的方針。

根據我多年的觀察,只要「三個前提」不變:中國內部狀況穩定、中美關係良好,以及台北政府持續對北京表達善意,北京對台柔性政策會持續。

 

 

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正規戰、游擊戰配套的探討

【聯合報╱林中斌/淡江大學國際事務與戰略研究所教授(北縣新店)】 2010.02.18 04:45 am


 

「林中斌:台國防應以游擊戰為主軸」。

媒體標題如是說,但非我本意。外國報紙訪問我後被節錄譯成中文登上台灣報紙。環節太多,易生偏差。

我的本意是:正規戰和游擊戰配套,高科技防務和低科技防務配套,昂貴軍購和廉價武器配套。特種部隊訓練有心守鄉土青年成為優良狙擊手、游擊戰士,每年公開演習展示戰力,嚇阻北京勿軍事攻台。

 

 

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http://news.pchome.com.tw/living/awakening/20100211/index-12658859405356143009.html

 

林中斌:「缺乏聆聽教育」文引共鳴

 

回應2010-02-11 18:59:00 台灣醒報

王柏雅 
 


 

    邁入國際化社會,台灣民眾應該也要注重國際禮儀。淡江大學國際事務與戰略研究所教授林中斌昨日(2/10)投書聯合報表示,台灣人不分年齡群,都缺乏「聆聽」的教育,以至於喜歡在別人講話時,在底下竊竊私語,他說,在成長階段中,沒有人教他們如何聆聽,只要開始教育,我們也能成為禮儀良好的國際公民。

 

 

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http://tw.myblog.yahoo.com/chiuyuju/article?mid=3449


 

動靜得宜,是一種國民素養

 

 

.分類:我思故我在2010/02/10 16:23

.我是一位教師,常常在上課時聽到,甚至自己必須「噓」以求台下學生安靜。拜讀這篇『缺乏聆聽教育的國民』真是心有戚戚焉。

 

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黃引珊 不盈保泰


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林怡舟 孫吳比較 - 將相合



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April 11, 2006

 

National and Capodistrian University of Athens
 


CHINA’S CROSS-STRAIT GO GAME

 




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Taiwan was once considered an unequivocal success-story in achieving speedy and smooth democratization that both Americans and Taiwanese prided themselves on. Now, the island is encountering multiple challenges, none more severe than those from across the Taiwan Strait. And, democracy to Taiwan’s national security is both assets and liabilities.

 

 

 

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BEIJING’S AGILE TACTICS ON TAIWAN

♣Conference on “The Political and Economic Reforms of Mainland China in a Changing Global Society”

♣College of Social Sciences, National Taiwan University, Taipei April 26, 2002


 

Chong-Pin Lin

☻This is a draft. Citation or quotation requires the author’s approval.

The views expressed here are purely personal, and do not represent the ROC government, or any agency thereof.

 

On March 15, 2000, People’s Republic of China Premier Zhu Rongi put on an unforgettable performance at a press conference in Beijing.




Download link: https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B7GUQTtcorbzSUZrV2o2bktuQXM
 

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