目前日期文章:201407 (21)

瀏覽方式: 標題列表 簡短摘要
 
 
FutureChina Global Forum 2014 was held at Shangri-la Hotel, Singapore, July 17-18. I spoke in the Closing Plenary, gave interviews to 焦點(Singaporean TV)聯合早報(Singaprean newspaper)and 財新(from Beiing), and had dinner with high school classmate Albert Yen, his wife Grace, and my special assistant Eli Huang(黃引珊).

                                                                                 Chong-Pin Lin   July 25, 2014

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Beijing on Taiwan and Beyond
Chong-Pin Lin
Panel presentation at FutureChina Global Forum 2014,
July 18, 2014, Shangri-la Hotel, Singapore

 
Assignments from moderator:
“The moderator (Claude Smadja) turns to Chong-Pin Lin about the charm offensive deployed by Beijing towards Taiwan in the recent period and his assessment of the visit of Zhang Zhijun on the island. How does he view the warming up of ties with Taiwan in the overall context of China’s present international strategy (about 10 min)
 

 

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Love People, Not Pleasure
Arthur C. Brooks  New York Times July 18, 2014
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/20/opinion/sunday/arthur-c-brooks-love-people-not-pleasure.html?_r=0


 
阿拉曼是十世紀西班牙柯多巴地區的國王,統治50年後, 回憶說: “這輩子,我享盡權力榮華。當我細數真正快樂地日子後,算出共有14天。”
 
2004年,兩位經濟學家對16,000位美國成年男女做私密問卷調查:請問過去一年您有多少位性伴侶,您覺得快樂嗎? 兩位學者統計後發現最快樂的伴侶數目是一。
 
此篇作者是美國華府中央偏右智庫美國企業研究所總裁,原芝加哥大學研究慈善事業的教授Arthur Brooks。該所中央偏右(保守),曾是資本主義、新保守主義的重鎮,一向支持台灣。我曾於1987-1995任該所專任學者/亞洲研究部副主任。
                                            林中斌  2004725
 
ABD AL-RAHMAN III was an emir and caliph of Córdoba in 10th-century Spain. He was an absolute ruler who lived in complete luxury. Here’s how he assessed his life: “I have diligently numbered the days of pure and genuine happiness which have fallen to my lot: They amount to 14.”
 
In 2004, two economists looked into whether more sexual variety led to greater well-being. They looked at data from about 16,000 adult Americans who were asked confidentially how many sex partners they had had in the preceding year, and about their happiness. Across men and women alike, the data show that the optimal number of partners is one.
 
This excellent article was written by the president of American Enterprise Institute, a center-right think tank in Washington D.C., one time a bastion of capitalism and neo-conservatism. Arthur Brooks was previously a Chicago University professor doing research on philanthropy. I served as resident scholar and associate director of the Asian Studies Program at AEI between 1987 and 1995.
                                                                                    Chong-Pin Lin, July 25, 2014

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Japan’s Break with Peace
Norihiro Kato   New York Times  July 17, 2014

英文 http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/17/opinion/norihiro-kato-japans-break-with-peace.html
 中文 http://cn.nytimes.com/opinion/20140718/c18kato/zh-hant/

 
早稻田大學榮譽教授加藤典洋,批評安倍偏向軍國路線的政策,引起地區不穩定。加藤教授清楚的解釋,安倍繞過國會和人民公投,以內閣決議方式修改了憲法第9條。從此可以對外用兵。 多數日本人民雖然反對軍國路線,但支持安倍政府! 加藤教授比喻1914年的英、德、法三國(大國、崛起國、沒落國)很像2014年的美、中、日。此篇英文及中文版皆附於下。
                                          林中斌  20014725
 
Professor Kato of Waseda University criticized Prime Minister Shinzo Abe for circumventing the Parliament to “gut” the Artcile 9 “peace clause” in the Constitution. He observed that a majority of Japanese people opposed Abe’s militarist policy but supported Abe administration. He made an astute comparison between 1914 and 2014. Then, England, Germany, and France were the great power, the rising power, and the fading power respectively. Today, a parallel is seen in the U.S., China, and Japan.
                                                                          Chong-Pin Lin July 25, 2014

 

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 吳稼祥剖析當前令人詭異的中國形勢
宋建沖編發  中國公務員理財  2014-07-19


 
這是一篇深入地觀察。作者立場開明,但表達方式講求技巧,點到為止。文中訊息豐富,值得推敲。
 
我的感言:胡耀邦的悲劇是只有改革的矛 (“旗幟鮮明”),沒有防身的盾 (“只做半個領袖,自己成了反對派”)。習切記在心,絕不重蹈覆測。中共宣傳機構(劉雲山)並非習的人馬(“做全黨領袖必須平衡,不要做半個領袖”)。要了解習真正的想法?(“要聽習的聲音可以有一個管道:中央黨校學習時報。政治資訊要從多角度去判斷。”)
 
習的頭五年,吏治;後五年,民主。跡象已開始:"安徽銅陵又開始基層選舉試點了,做海選,效果非常好,沒有一點混亂"
                                             林中斌 2004725

 

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林中斌/北京對台 不蹈覆轍
【聯合報╱林中斌】 2014.07.08

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習歐交鋒 林中斌:唱戲給自己人聽
旺報 2014.07.10

 
大家預期的中美劍拔弩張言詞對衝沒有發生。汪洋耍幽默,習進平展氣度。美國國務卿凱瑞顯得被動。因為習在國內打貪氣勢強旺,沒有必要對美國客人苛猛。

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民眾政黨立場傾向追蹤分析
遠見民調

台灣中間選民比例達新高。遠見民調最新結果。國民黨跌至新低,但仍然高於民進黨。

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盲人鋼琴家神技表演李斯特小鐘

Youtube連結: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i8Avhms0uqc
2009年范‧克萊本國際鋼琴大賽金牌得主 辻井伸行
2009 Van Cliburn International Piano Competition gold medalist  Nobuyuki Tsujii

 

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Homeless Boy Wows Judges on Korea's Got Talent
 
A video of a homeless Korean boy who loves to sing. 無家可歸的韓國小孩唱歌時像天使墜落人間.....

Youtube連結: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=y4CBLVNG2Q4



 

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Everything you need to know about UFOs
The Economist  Jun 28th 2014
http://www.economist.com/news/united-states/21605918-everything-you-need-know-about-ufos-0

72日是UFO,紀念1947 Roswell 事件。這是經濟學人剛公布的UFO sightings 的統計。17:00-23:00 最多。

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 起飛時著火 美F35全面停飛
【聯合報╱編譯陳世欽/報導】2014.07.05


http://udn.com/NEWS/WORLD/WOR6/8784619.shtml
個人去年3月曾寫短文 35全能戰機或敗家驕子 http://blog.yam.com/CPLin/article/60647064 敬請指教。
林中斌  2014711

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 Porsches, Potholes and Patriots
Nicholas Kristof  JULY 2, 2014
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/03/opinion/nicholas-kristof-porsches-potholes-and-patriots.html

如果你有錢買高級車,但是路面坑坑窪窪,沒用!
紀思道此篇以生動的個案點出美國目前社會的困境。
林中斌  2014711
 
What is the use of buying a Porsche just to ruin it on neighborhood streets full of potholes? Nicholas Kristof skillfully depict the broad dilemma the U.S. is in with an anecdote.
Chong-Pin Lin    July 11, 2014
 
 

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殺一人可救五人性命,你幹不幹?專家發現:我們聽懂得的外語時,反應比較理性。我們聽母語時,反應比較感性。
林中斌  2014711
 
Killing one person can save the lives of five. Would you do it? Experts have found that we are more rational when responding to a question delivered in a foreign language we understand while we are more sentimental when responding to a question asked in our mother tongue.
Chong-Pin Lin   July 11, 2014
 

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 The Next Act of the Neocons
By JACOB HEILBRUNN  JULY 5, 2014
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/06/opinion/sunday/are-neocons-getting-ready-to-ally-with-hillary-clinton.html

有趣的是:曾經支持共和黨小布希打伊拉克的美國的新保守主義人士,現在滑向民主黨最可能的下屆總統候選人,希拉蕊‧柯林頓。
林中斌  2014711
 
The neocons that used to support Republican president G.W. Bush launching wars against Afghanistan and Iraq are now shifting toward supporting Hillary Clinton, the most likely next presidential candidate for the Democrats.
Chong-Pin Lin  July 11, 2014
 

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Obamas Weakness, or Ours?
By Nicholas Kristof  JUNE 25, 2014

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/26/opinion/nicholas-kristof-obamas-weakness-or-ours.html


這篇論點挑戰當前流行的看法:歐巴馬外交極糟糕。作者所說不無道理。
林中斌   201474
This oped argues against the currently popular view that Obama’s foreign policy is a failure.
Chong-Pin Lin July 4, 2014 

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Inequality Is Not Inevitable
By JOSEPH E. STIGLITZ June 27, 2014 6:16 pm

 
這篇是諾貝爾經濟得主批判當前美國以及大多數資本主義/民主國家所面臨的社會不公平的問題:貧富不均、官商勾結等。他所說的道理清晰,論述有力,文字優雅。
林中斌   201474
This article written by Nobel laureate in economics is the best I have read on the social woes faced by America and most other capitalist-democraciessuch as dismally widening inequality and unsavory businessman-politician networking.  The argument is poignant, the logic clear, and the style elegant.
Chong-Pin Lin  July 4, 2014
 

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If Franz Ferdinand Had Lived
By SIMON WINDER JUNE 27, 2014
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/06/28/opinion/if-franz-ferdinand-had-lived.html


 
這短短一篇文字生動的描寫1914年歐洲的政治環境,探討有名的 暗殺案帶來的影響,帶了些點懷舊的風味,點出歷史的反諷。
林中斌   201474
This short piece captures so well the socio-political environment of Europe in 1914 and explores the historical impact and irony of “the assassination” with nostalgia.
Chong-Pin Lin   July 4, 2014
 

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 張志軍訪台後 兩岸關係的變與不變
學者分析張志軍訪問臺灣過後,兩岸加強並擴大交流的主軸不變,策略應用將更顯靈活。國、民、共三黨互動,形勢各有消長。
德國之聲中文網 記者:邱璧輝 2014.06.29

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林中斌:習近平遲早會辦周永康
中央社/記者蔡素蓉 台北30日電 2014/06/30 20:09





"1975.......習近平...... 找王岐山借宿一夜,兩人合蓋一牀被子.......".這是我說習王是數十年親密好友的來源。
 

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