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Trump claims ‘national security victory’ after Supreme Court allows travel ban

June 27, 2017

https://www.ft.com/content/2f518fa2-5a87-11e7-9bc8-8055f264aa8b

accessed June 27, 2017

 

● 美國最高法院居然全數通過支持川普對6個回教國家旅客禁止入境的政策,之前美國地方法院數次推動川普之禁令.

● 此外,6月20日美國眾議院 “特別選舉”(Special House election) 喬治亞州及南卡羅來納州的共和黨候選人 Karen Handel及Ralph Norman都贏得選舉

● 美國經濟復甦仍然在持續,川普當選後大家所憂慮的 “川普震盪”(Trump bump)並未發生

● 川普雖然民調支持度低,但很可能做完四年不被彈劾而下台.

● 如果在2020年,美國經濟過得去,(不見得是很好),川普不無可能連任做8年的總統

 

林中斌 2017.6.27

 


The US Supreme Court handed Donald Trump a partial but significant victory on Monday, allowing his controversial ban on travellers from six Muslim-majority nations to take effect for people who lack a “bona fide relationship” in the US.

In practice, the unanimous decision will allow into the US only individuals with a “close familial relationship” to a US citizen or a formal tie to an American company or organisation, the court said.

The president welcomed the ruling as “a clear victory for our national security”, saying it would allow him to “use an important tool for protecting our nation’s homeland” from threats from “six terror-prone countries”. 

“As president, I cannot allow people into our country who want to do us harm,” Mr Trump said. “I want people who can love the United States and all of its citizens, and who will be hardworking and productive.”

Mr Trump’s attempts to restrict entry into the US, which began just a week after his inauguration, ignited the first big controversy of his presidency. Protests snarled airports and lawsuits quickly erupted in multiple federal courts.

Monday’s ruling represented his first legal win after a series of sharp defeats, but sets up a potential showdown over presidential power. 

“The most significant aspect of this is that it’s unanimous, that all the justices agreed the lower courts made a big mistake,” said Josh Blackman, a professor at the South Texas College of Law. 

The ruling effectively suspended the lower courts’ decisions while the Supreme Court itself can hear arguments on the merits of the case. Acting on the final day of their annual term, the justices will not provide a full hearing in the case until they reconvene in October, leaving much of Mr Trump’s ban in place for at least three months.

Opponents of the ban warned that the ruling could spur a wave of new legal challenges as travellers attempt to prove they should be allowed into the US.

The court’s decision is likely to spawn “chaos at the border and new lawsuits as foreign nationals and refugees argue that they are entitled to enter the United States,” said Stephen Yale-Loehr, a Cornell University Law School professor. 

Two federal appeals courts — in cases involving refugee groups, US citizens with foreign relatives and the state of Hawaii — have blocked the administration’s second attempt at a temporary travel ban since it was issued on March 6.

Judges in both cases cited Mr Trump’s campaign trail calls for a ban on Muslims entering the US as proof that his order was motivated by unconstitutional religious animus rather than national security concerns. 
Mr Trump’s travel order would have halted for 90 days all arrivals from Iran, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria and Yemen to permit a study of foreign governments’ security vetting procedures. The order also would have barred new refugee arrivals for 120 days and capped the annual total of such admissions at 50,000.

Republican Handel Wins Georgia House Election, GOP Keeps Seat

 

By Arit John

2017621 上午10:25 [台北] 2017621 下午6:36 [台北]

  • Former Georgia Secretary of State Handel defeats Ossoff
  • Democrats hoped to capitalize on Trump’s low approval ratings

GOP's Handel Wins Close Race for Georgia House Seat

Sen. Cardin Says Trump Travel Ban Creates Confusion

Trump Scheduled to Meet With Putin During G-20 Summit

GOP's Handel Wins Close Race for Georgia House Seat

Republican Karen Handel defeated a well-funded opponent in a special election for a U.S. House seat in Georgia, a setback for Democrats who hoped President Donald Trump’s low approval ratings would help them win congressional races.

Handel, 55, won in a suburban Atlanta district held by the GOP since 1979 despite raising far less money than Democrat Jon Ossoff, 30, in the most expensive House race in U.S. history. Handel will fill a seat vacated by Tom Price, who was appointed by Trump as Health and Human Services secretary.

Handel won 51.9 percent of votes to Ossoff’s 48.1 percent with all precincts reporting, according to the Associated Press.

Handel thanked the president while addressing supporters Tuesday night, prompting chants of “Trump, Trump, Trump” from the crowd. “Tonight, I stand before you extraordinarily humbled and honored at the tremendous privilege and high responsibility that you and the people across the sixth district have given to me to represent you in the United States House of Representatives,” she said.

Citing the June 14 shooting at a congressional Republican baseball practice that left House Majority Whip Steve Scalise injured, Handel urged a “more civil way to deal with our disagreements.” 

“In these United States of America, no one, no one should ever feel their life threatened over their political beliefs and positions,” she said.

 

Trump Cheers

The result of Tuesday’s election likely will embolden Trump and his legislative push to dismantle Obamacare and overhaul taxes. The president raised money for Handel and repeatedly tweeted in support of her candidacy. 

Democrats also lost a special election Tuesday for a House seat in South Carolina vacated by White House budget director Mick Mulvaney. In that race, Republican Ralph Norman had been heavily favored to defeat the Democrat, former Goldman Sachs tax expert Archie Parnell.

Overall, the special House elections held since Trump’s inauguration have been closer than Republicans would’ve expected in the traditionally right-leaning districts.

“Well, the Special Elections are over and those that want to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN are 5 and O!” Trump said in a tweet after the results were announced. “All the Fake News, all the money spent = 0.”

 

Arm’s Length

Handel sought to keep the president at arm’s length, although her platform included priorities similar to Trump’s. Ossoff avoided attacking Trump in an effort to appeal to voters in the Republican district, focusing his campaign on reducing the deficit, cutting government spending and bringing high-tech jobs to the area. Polls in advance of the election had shown the race virtually tied, within the margins of error.

The president’s approval rating was 37 percent in a Gallup poll taken June 17-19 as the Federal Bureau of Investigation and congressional committees investigate possible Trump campaign ties to Russia and whether the president obstructed the FBI’s probe.

Handel, a former Georgia secretary of state, raised $4.3 million, according to Federal Election Commission filings. Ossoff, a former congressional staffer, raised $23.6 million.

Despite Ossoff’s fundraising advantage, Handel was boosted by $18.2 million in outside spending, including $6.5 million from the House leadership-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund super-PAC and $6.7 million from the National Republican Congressional Committee, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a nonpartisan research group. 

“Democrats from coast to coast threw everything they had at this race, and Karen would not be defeated,” Republican House Speaker Paul Ryan of Wisconsin said in a statement.

Ossoff benefited from just under $8 million in outside spending, including $5 million from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. 

“This is not the outcome any of us hoped for, but this is the beginning of something much bigger than us,” Ossoff told supporters Tuesday night.

In spite of Ossoff’s loss, Democrats say they have a better chance of winning dozens of Republican-held seats in next year’s midterm election. Democrats are seeking to take control of the House, dominated 238-193 by Republicans before Tuesday’s vote.

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朱成虎答中評:兩岸軍事交流曾被美國叫停

JUNE 26, 2017

http://hk.crntt.com/doc/1047/2/3/3/104723318.html?coluid=1&kindid=0&docid=104723318&mdate=0626093923

accessed June 30, 2017

● 朱不經意反映 -- 蔡有別於獨派。蔡不會宣佈台獨 。甚至影射:蔡受獨夾持。
"朱成虎對兩岸關係總體上表示樂觀,'不是說兩岸關係不會出問題,而是我認為蔡英文不會宣佈台獨,蔡英文不想把兩岸關係搞壞,但是民進黨內有急獨派,蔡英文沒有辦法掌控這部分力量。'”
其實,區別獨與蔡已是對岸台辦以外的官員私下常表達的看法。進一步可稍誇張的說,這種含蓄體諒蔡的看法與台灣藍營對蔡的批判成為有趣的對比。 
今年三月7日兩會期間,旺報報導:有不具名的日本記者對北京官員提到--"習近平批台獨時,並沒有點蔡英文,這跟過去把台獨與陳水扁劃上等號不同。"

● 朱提及動武,但未鼓吹武統,有別於王洪光等武統的主張。

 

林中斌 2017.6.30

 

中評社北京6月26日電(中評社報道組)“

 

   馬英九當了台灣的領導人之後,曾經提出來要派四位軍人來大陸談兩岸的軍事互信問題,我們也準備了四個軍人,準備到台灣去。但是美國就劃了五條紅線,阻止了這次交流,這就使得兩岸關係一直到今天都是半死不活。”中國國防大學的戰略研究教授朱成虎少將昨日在第六屆世界和平論壇上回答中評記者提問時說。 

   朱成虎表示,在台灣問題上美國人早就劃了幾條紅線:第一,兩岸不能建立軍事互信;第二,兩岸在南海問題上不能聯合起來對付其他的聲索國;第三,兩岸在釣魚島問題上不能聯合起來對付日本;第四,兩岸不能就軍事技術進行交流;第五,兩岸退役將領的交流不能機制化。這五條紅線嚴重阻礙了兩岸的交流。 

   朱成虎對中評社表示,在中美關係中,台灣問題永遠是一個問題。美國在兩岸關係上的政策有幾個方面需要注意:第一,美國絕對不會支持中國統一,因為統一之後的中國是一個更加難以對付的對手;第二,美國不願意在兩岸關係中被邊緣化,這一點大陸也非常明確;第三,台灣問題是美國掌握在手中能夠給大陸製造麻煩的一個軟肋。 

 

  “如果中美關係出現問題,台灣問題會更加突出。即使中美關係不出現問題,以中國高速發展的態勢,眼看要取代美國成為世界霸主了,美國也會用台灣問題來制約中國,不會讓中國順順當當發展。”朱成虎說。 

   朱成虎對兩岸關係總體上表示樂觀,“不是說兩岸關係不會出問題,而是我認為蔡英文不會宣佈台獨,蔡英文不想把兩岸關係搞壞,但是民進黨內有急獨派,蔡英文沒有辦法掌控這部分力量。” 

   朱成虎對中評社表示,作為大陸人,要準備以各種方式解決台灣問題,“解決台灣問題就是實現祖國的統一。”朱成虎說,“一個分裂的中國就不能算世界的強國。” 

   朱成虎先後畢業於中國人民解放軍國際關係學院和國防大學。曾作為高級訪問學者在美、英等國客座研究,曾任國防大學戰略研究所副所長,國防大學外訓系主任,台灣問題研究中心領導小組成員,現任國防大學防務學院院長。曾多次主持或參加重大研究課題,著有《中美關係的發展變化及趨勢》、《當代美國軍事》等多部學術專著。

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Plitvicka Jezera, Croatia 16湖國家公園,克羅埃西亞

June 16, 2017

克羅埃西亞的16湖國家公園。像台階般的湖泊,節節下降。從下望上,瀑布水有如來自16層天上。湖水清澈見底。石灰岩硬度3(玻璃硬度7,銅板硬度5),易溶於水,為大自然雕工提供絕佳石材。景色寧靜,很難想像科沃內戰時,公園裡還埋下地雷。和平轉變了一切。德國的遊客說,如今他的鄰居、朋友都來克羅埃西亞遊玩、就業。近5、6年,全世界的遊客都蜂擁而來。韓國人、印度人、澳洲人、美國人、中國人、台灣人.....。

 

林中斌 2017.6.17

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/5645394

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Trogir and Zadar, Croatia

June 18, 2017

Ancient cities established by the Greek colonists in the 4th and 3rd century B.C. respectively.

 

Chong-Pin Lin

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/5645367

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Trogir, Croatia

June 19/20, 2017

The charming little island of a fortress city was colonized and ruled consecutively by the Greeks, the Romans, the Dukedom of Venice, Austro-Hungarian Empire, and Yugoslavia Kingdom as well as The Socialist Republic of Yugoslavia. The current city population is slightly more than 10,000. People are nice, cars always stop for the pedestrians, and owner of our apartment would bring cake to us upon arrival, crepes next morning, and a bottle a wine the day of departure.

 

Chong-Pin Lin

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/5645340

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Mostar and Modugorje, Bosnia Herzegovina

June 21, 2017

Mostar which means "the old bridge" is a historical city identified by UNICEF today. It is currently the most popular tourist attraction of the country, yet was the city of the most intense fighting during the civil war of 1992 - 1996. Bullet holes left on building walls testify that horrible episode.

Not too far from Mostar is the sacred hill where the apparition of Our Lady was witnessed by a few children in 1981, as promised by Our Lady in Fatima in 1914 that She would return.

In Mostar today, Catholics (2/3)and Muslims (1/3) live peacefullly,

 

Chong-Pin Lin June 22, 2017

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/5645304

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Perast & Kotor, Montenegro

June 22&23, 2017

● “人間天堂”!英國文豪蕭伯納造訪今日黑山共合國的Perast後,不禁如此感歎。藏在安德列海灣中的海灣裡,Perast 像是童話故事裡的仙境。有城堡、清澈見底的湖水、挺拔的山壁。非常值得身歷其境一遊。

林中斌 2017.6.25

"Pearl of the Adriatic", Perast is how Lord Byron referred to it. He also described to be the most beautiful enconter between the mountains and the sea. "Paradise on earth" is George Bernard Shaw's term for Perast. In fact, such stunning scenery can hardly be reduced to mere words. Hidden inside complicated bay within a bay, Perast just like taken from a fairy tale, is easily forgotten by the outside world. Kotor, nearby, used to be a palace constructed in the 10th century by the Venetians with a church perched high up on the mountainn within the fortress wall.

Two small islands off Perast are situated in the center of the waters, one being a monastery and the other a castle. The water is so clean that one can see fish swimming busily as one enjoys breakfast outdoors by the water as the refreshing breeze caressed our face from the lake-like sea. Behind Perast and Kotor is a steep limestone cliff that takes 25 switchbacks to drive up to the top of the mountians at Lovcen where an Alpine landform opens up.

 

Chong-Pin Lin

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/5645235

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Dubrovnik, Croatia

June 24/25, 2017

● 杜伯尼克2010年後竄起成為世界旅遊的新熱點。曾於1990至1991遭到7個月內戰中圍城敵軍砲火的每日轟擊。之後重建,醜陋的灰色屋瓦換新成亮麗的橘紅。如今笙歌歡樂熱鬧繁榮,不可同日而語。

Dubrovnik has been a hot touristic attraction since about 2010 after surviving a nasty civil war. It rose from the destruction under constant bombardments by the Serbian and Montenegro forces during a seven months siege between the end of 1990 to mid-1991.

● 杜伯尼克是古時航海貿易發達的拉古薩共和國(1358-1808)的首都。拉古薩無強大軍力,卻以高超的外交在周圍強權威脅之下,生存繁榮,保有自由和尊嚴,直至今日仍為歷史學者好奇研究的對象。它當時奉為信念的名言是:"自由無價,無論對方出多少金子,我們都不賣。" (英文Liberty is not sold for all the gold. 拉丁文 Non bene pro toto libertas venditur auro.)
拉古薩的歷史實例有台灣可借鏡之處嗎?

The city was constructed around the 12th century. From 1358 to 1808, it was the capital of the maritime Republic of Ragusa, which achieved a high level of development, particularly during the 15th and 16th centuries, as it became notable for its wealth and skilled diplomacy.

It has impressed and even puzzled historians to this day how a state without military might retained freedom for centuries among the great powers. The Republic of Ragusa was the vassal state of the following different giants in different times:
- Kingdom of Hungary (1358-1458)
-Ottoman Empire (1458-1806)
-Hapsburg Austria (1684-1806)
-French Empire and Kingdom of Italy (1806-1808)

At one time, the Republic of Ragusa was simultaneously submissive to both Ottoman Empire to the east and Hapsburg Austria to the north, serving as a bridge between the muslim Ottoman Empire and the Christian European markets.

Something to learn for the survival and freedom of Taiwan?

● 拉古薩共和國生存之道或許在於:
1. 避免與強權對抗。願意做為強權的屬國,而保留自己的制度。
2. 甚至願意同時作為兩個對抗強權的屬國。遊走敵對兩方,成為雙方的橋梁,和經貿的通道。如鄂圖曼帝國 和 奧地利大公國。

拉古薩共和國在不同時期座椅向強權地屬國:
- 匈牙利王國 (1358-1458)
- 鄂圖曼帝國 (1458-1806)
- 奧地利大公國 (1684-1806)
- 法蘭西帝國(拿破崙)和其下的義大利王國 (1806-1808)

杜伯尼克早在1272年已擁有自己的法典,而與當時其他的法典相近,包括了羅馬的慣律及當地的傳統。那法典也包括了城市規劃及傳染病隔離的準則。與其他鄰近地區比較,杜伯尼克的法制及規劃是相對地先進的,其中以下的例子最為突出:
• - 在1301年引入醫療服務
• - 在1317年已有第一所的藥房,至今仍如常運作
• - 在1347年開設老人收容所
• - 在1377年開設傳染病隔離醫院(拉丁語為Lazarete)
• - 在1418年廢除奴隸貿易
• - 在1432年開設孤兒院
• - 在1436年建設20公里長的供水系統
杜伯尼克是由貴族統治,統治機構為兩市的議會(Vije
ć
e)。

In 1979, it joined the UNESCO list of World Heritage Sites. We were impressed by the abundance of nice swimming sites characterized by clear bluish green water devoid of choppy waves. The civil war brought an opportunity to rebuild the citiy with bright orange roof tiles replacing the ugly and dirty greyish brown one. People are now merrily enjoying their lives with the booming tourism.

Chong-Pin Lin June 29, 2017

林中斌 2017.6.30

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/5645130

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九寨溝 Jiuzhaigou, China

2017/04/10

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/4197108

 兩千多年的古城和水利工程:成都-都江堰以及高原仙境九寨溝 

Two-thousand year-old city and hydraulic construction plus a Shangrila in Sichuan Province, central China.

林中斌 2017.4.10 

17861907_1491300184234726_1398240077315529268_n.jpg

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Dennis Hickey 

https://www.facebook.com/chongpin.lin/posts/1382160781815334

accessed Dec. 27, 2016

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