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川普在美國聲勢愈來愈旺。很可能連任。Trump is winning domestically.

accessed May 2, 2018

Most likely he will finish this term and may even get re-elected.

--共和黨國會競選人男女都在模仿他粗俗的風格。民主黨也跟進。

--成功的彈劾美國總統幾乎不能。歷史上沒發生過。

--連追查川普的特別檢察官穆勒都可能被他免職。

林中斌 2018.5.2

 

Trump is winning domestically.

Most likely he will finish this term and may even get re-elected.

●Not only the Republican candidates, both male and female, for the coming elections are mimicking the President in campaigning style, but also some Democrats.

-- Philippe Reines, a longterm adviser for Hillary, recently wrote "He (Trump) has no dignity. He leaves not attack unanswered. I spent 15 years recommending ignoring stupidity.... I was wrong."

--Martha McSally, a Republican running for the Arizona Senate seat was proud of having told Washington Politicians to “grow a pair of ovaries”.

(Jeremy Peters, "Borrowing Trump's Sound and Fury" International New York Times April 24, 2018) https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/22/us/politics/trump-republican-party.html

● It is almost impossible to unseat president Trump through impeachment, because “Enough of the public and the political class abhor impeachment.”

--“America has ever impeached only two presidents (Andrew Johnson in 1868 and Bill Clinton in 1998-99), but in both cases the Senate refused conviction, meaning that both men remained in office”. The threshold in the Senate for approving an impeachment is too high, 2/3 majority.

--Even Andrew Johnson’s political enemies refused to impeach him.

--Even as the Lewinsky situation unfolded, Bill Clinton’s job approval rate went up, not down.

-- Today, trying to impeach and remove Trump could boost his popularity.

(Charles Blow, “America abhors impeachment” INYT April 24, 2018)

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/22/opinion/trump-impeachement-america.html

● As things stand now, the possibility of President Trump firing the Special Counsel Robert Mueller III and dismantle the latter’s office cannot be ruled out.

(John Tye and Mark Zaid, “Robert Mueller’s Last Resort” INYT April 28, 2018)

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/25/opinion/robert-mueller-legal-whistleblowing.html

 

Chong-Pin Lin May 2, 2018

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超越秦俑展的秦俑展

Aug 11, 2016

  • 展出文物照耀700年歷史。秦由附庸而諸侯而稱王再一統六國成帝業。
  • 策展人原命名為"邁向帝國",但因政治敏感,而低調處理。(帝國暗含統一的危險意涵)
  • 所陳列一級古物高達70%。通常只有20%。策展人為北大博士,與各省考古博物館負責人有師兄弟情誼。許多一級古物剛出土,尚未完成註冊、發表、定位程序,便為策展人商借成功。再晚,那些一級古物進國家博物館,便不能離開。
  • 此展擁有五個館的鎮館之寶。
  • 其規模內涵,世界唯一,應屬空前,也可能絕後。
  • 展紀念冊呈現秦始皇仁心細膩一面,為被漢儒妖魔化兩千年的他些許做了平反。
 
    

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2015.10.  六朝古都南京

Ancient Capital Nanjing Oct. 2015

A1 明孝陵.jpg A2 明孝陵.jpg A3 明孝陵法國梧桐.jpg

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/1042534

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  • Apr 21 Mon 2014 20:50



林中斌"趨勢觀察 Trend Watching"
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201211 胡錦濤裸退
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  • Mar 20 Thu 2014 03:54
聯合報Udn TV-【全球瞭望】
 直播時間/320(   20:00~20:48
 敬 邀/林中斌 教授
主持人/聯合報副總編輯 郭崇倫
訪談主題:
1. 近年在全球各地,國會代議制為何頻出狀況?
 2. 連號稱最民主的歐美,民眾也開始不信任國會。
  未來其它還在開發中的國家該怎麼拼民主?

 

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