林中斌 部落格 / Blog Chong-Pin Lin

體例特點: 美國防部軍力報告2009年

Format Characteristics: Pentagon


: Military Power of the PRC 2009

林中斌 2009.4.6 Chong-Pin Lin April 6, 2009

中華生命電磁科學學會會員大會暨

2010年「身、心、靈科學」研討會

時間：99年4月24日(星期六)
地點：東吳大學 第一教研大樓一樓 普仁講堂

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標題: Don't Break the Engagement.

作者： Economy, Elizabeth, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, May/Jun2004, 卷 83, 刊號 3

Don't Break the Engagement

 

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STAYING THE COURSE ON CHINA

AFTER ALMOST three years of calm, the American debate over China policy is set to heat up again. Like Bill Clinton, George W. Bush came into office pushing for a tougher approach to Beijing. And like his predecessor, Bush soon changed his tune. But if the Clinton administration's shift reflected a deep-rooted embrace of the logic of engagement, the Bush administration's shift has appeared more tactical, reflecting a realist appreciation for alliances of convenience during times of crisis. Now that the initial and most urgent phases of the war on terrorism have passed, China policy is likely to find its way back onto the agenda of hard-liners who consider the country a strategic competitor. They are likely to be joined by those who think that tough talk about trade deficits and China's human rights violations makes for good campaign politics. With the bilateral trade deficit now at $120 billion, Beijing's reported backsliding on human rights, and its heavy-handed diplomacy with Hong Kong and Taiwan, 2004 could be a banner year for the critics of engagement. Yet a return to China bashing and to a strategy of containment would be a mistake. The past 30 years have demonstrated that engagement works--if not exactly in the way its advocates predicted

標題: China's Search for Stability With America.

作者： Wang Jisi, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Sep/Oct2005, 卷 84, 刊號 5

China's Search for Stability With America

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AFTER 9/11

THE UNITED STATES is currently the only country with the capacity and the ambition to exercise global primacy, and it will remain so for a long time to come. This means that the United States is the country that can exert the greatest strategic pressure on China. Although in recent years Beijing has refrained from identifying Washington as an adversary or criticizing its "hegemonism"--a pejorative Chinese code word for U.S. dominance--many Chinese still view the United States as a major threat to their nation's security and domestic stability.

標題: China's New Diplomacy.
作者： Medeiros, Evan S., Fravel, M. Taylor, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Nov/Dec2003, 卷 82, 刊號

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China's New Diplomacy

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VICTIM NO MORE

THIS SUMMER, as the nuclear crisis in North Korea intensified, most eyes were focused on the adversaries in Washington and Pyongyang.

Less noticed, but no less important, was the role of a third player: Beijing. China, long reticent on matters of foreign policy, had boldly stepped into the fray, suspending crucial oil shipments to North Korea, sending high-level envoys to Pyongyang, and shifting troops around the Sino-Korean border. It was China that arranged the tripartite talks held in Beijing in April. And China has not let up the pressure since.

標題: China Takes Off.

作者： Hale, David, Hughes Hale, Lyric, Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Nov/Dec2003, 卷 82, 刊號 6

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China Takes Off

CHINA'S ECONOMIC EXPLOSION

FEW NATIONS have changed as fast--or as dramatically--as China has since the 1970s. The world's most populous nation has radically liberalized its economy and gone from producing low-quality and simple exports to sophisticated high-technology goods, while nurturing a vibrant private sector and attracting nearly $500 billion in foreign direct investment (FDI). The country has turned into a formidable exporting machine: China's total exports grew eightfold--to over $380 billion--between 1990 and 2003; and its exports in the electronics industry now account for 30 percent of Asia's total in that sector. China's share of global exports will reach 6 percent in 2003, compared to 3.9 percent in 2000. Last year, China accounted for 16 percent of the growth in the world economy, ranking second only to the United States.

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標題: The New New World Order.

作者： Drezner, Daniel W., Foreign Affairs, 00157120, Mar/Apr2007, 卷 86, 刊號 2HTML 全文

The New New World Order

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RISING AND FALLING

 

THROUGHOUT THE twentieth century, the list of the world's great powers was predictably short: the United States, the Soviet Union, Japan, and northwestern Europe. The twenty-first century will be different. China and India are emerging as economic and political heavyweights: China holds over a trillion dollars in hard currency reserves, India's high-tech sector is growing by leaps and bounds, and both countries, already recognized nuclear powers, are developing blue-water navies. The National Intelligence Council, a U.S. government think tank, projects that by 2025, China and India will have the world's second- and fourth-largest economies, respectively. Such growth is opening the way for a multipolar era in world politics.