2016/02/27 自由時報 蘇永耀
http://m.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/962368
accessed February 27, 2016
l 自由時報只提我說習近平對2020的企圖心。中評社只提我說蔡英文對2020的企圖心。各取一半。2016.1.22我在澳門大學的英文演講"Overlapped Ambitions"講的就是蔡習對2020的企圖心，都不公開承認，但有重合之處。這才是目前蔡習漸近的幕後動力。
林中斌 2016.2.27
中評深度專訪：林中斌剖析蔡英文兩岸政策
Feb 26, 2016
http://www.zhgpl.com/doc/1041/3/5/2/104135259.html?coluid=93&kindid=2910&docid=104135259&mdate=0226001712
20160122 “Overlapped Ambitions: Exploring Tsai-Xi Cross-strait Rapprochement”
Jan 22, 2016
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1i-nwdLrn8I
l This is the talk delivered at University of Macau, a week after Taiwan’s presidential election. Its basic assumption is that both Xi and Tsai hold unspoken personal ambitions that overlap over the coming cross-strait interactions.
l 這是2016年1月22日在澳門大學的英文演講，敬請賜教。
20151210 “先強後韌:習近平對外風格下的兩岸前景”
Dec 10, 2016
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0eMgKlGjIO0
l This is a keynote delivered at the Far East Groups annual conference for its high-level managers about one month before Taiwan’s presidential election on January 16, 2016.
l 這是遠東集團高階主管年會的主題演說內容。時間在台灣總統大選之前一個月。敬請指正。
中客自由行 年輕女性最多
2016/02/14 自由時報
http://m.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/957857
l 這不是聯合或中時或旺報，而是自由時報的報導！“中國自由行旅客...禮貌與文明程度甚至還優於臺灣人..."
馬政府開放中國旅客自由行，根據調查，來台灣自由行的中客以女性居多，偏愛軟性景點，不少人事先還做足功課，深入了解台灣的程度，接觸過的人都印象深刻。
中國從二○一一年六月開放第一批自由行中國旅客來台，根據陸委會統計，目前已達三二六．五萬人次，以廿歲到四十歲的比例最多，呈現逐年增加趨勢。
其中，女性的比例又高於男性，她們對於台灣的軟性景點，包括美食、民宿、具人文特色的景點特別偏好。
一般來說，自由行的中國旅客，喜歡規劃深度旅遊與精緻路線。調查顯示，最愛的地點包括誠品書店、九份山城、平溪天燈、北投溫泉等地；最愛的台灣伴手禮是鳳梨酥、牛軋糖及面膜。
有民宿業者指出，曾接待過來自中國的自由行旅客，幾個女生結伴遊台，令人印象深刻的是，她們對於台灣有相當深入的了解，顯然事先做足功課，例如當地老街的歷史淵源，竟然比當地人還要如數家珍。
業者坦言，中國自由行旅客素質普遍比團客高出許多，禮貌與文明程度甚至還優於台灣人，他們旅遊過程中細細品味台灣的各地點滴，不時仔細詢問當地風土民情，這也讓他們印象深刻。
陸委會方面指出，隨著中國自由行旅客人數逐年增加，安全維護與旅遊品質成為重要課題，已建立緊急事件的政府相關單位橫向聯繫機制；至於少數中客所伴隨而來的治安問題，相關機關已進一步強化安全管理配套機制與措施，並將依實際實施情形，隨時進行檢討。
“Anchors away”
Economist Feb 20th 2016
“As China’s Economic Picture Turns Uglier, Beijing Applies Airbrush”
EDWARD WONG and NEIL GOUGH FEB. 25, 2016
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/26/business/international/china-data-slowing-economy.html?_r=0
accessed FEB 25, 2016
l 人類進入21世紀壹拾年代。民主的日本和非民主的中國都在縮緊對媒體的管制。怎麼啦?是人類整體退步了嗎?還是媒體在國家人民整體利益下應該管訓?
l Mankind has entered the second decade of the 21th century. Yet, both the democratic Japan and the undemocratic China are tightening control of the media. What has happened? Is it that mankind has retrogressed? Or, under the total interest of a country and its people, media ought to be controlled?
"蔡英文：最紮實的花瓶"
2016/1/28 多維 p.88-90
accessed Feb 19, 2016
林中斌 2016.2.19
南海衝突升溫？
林中斌：中美「鬥而不破」
2016/02/17 蘋果日報 林中斌
accessed Feb 20, 2016
Beijing’s nonnavy boats in South China Sea stoke concern of U.S. 7th Fleet commander
The Japan Times, Feb 16, 2016
accessed Feb 18, 2016
China’s increased reliance on nonnaval ships to assert its claims in the South China Sea is complicating U.S. efforts to avoid a clash in the disputed waters, according to 7th Fleet commander Vice Adm. Joseph Aucoin.
While the U.S. and Chinese navies are working more closely under an agreed code for unplanned encounters at sea, the deployment of coast guard and other nonnaval vessels in the area is “a concern of mine,” Aucoin told reporters Monday in Singapore. He plans to take the USS Blue Ridge, the command ship of the 7th Fleet, to China later in the summer.
“We have all types of senior level engagements with the Chinese PLAN, that we meet pretty routinely,” Aucoin said, referring to the People’s Liberation Army Navy. He said he had a “greater fear” about other actors, “whether it’s coast guard or what we refer to as white shipping or cabbage ships, not sure about their professionalism.”
Aucoin’s comments came ahead of a two-day summit in California between President Barack Obama and leaders from Southeast Asian nations, as the U.S. seeks to build a unified approach to China’s growing military clout. Southeast Asian countries generally welcome China’s investment and economic muscle, even as some have expressed concern about its expanding naval reach.
China claims more than 80 percent of the South China Sea, putting it at odds with fellow claimants including Vietnam and the Philippines in a body of water that annually hosts $5 trillion in shipping. In the past two years, China has reclaimed more than 1,200 hectares (3,000 acres) in the sea and is building military facilities there. It has also made greater use of fishing and maritime surveillance boats to warn off other vessels in the area, blurring the lines between its navy and coast guard.
Last month the U.S. sent a warship into waters contested by China, Vietnam and Taiwan to challenge the “excessive” maritime claims of all three. It was the second time in less than six months the U.S. has challenged China with a so-called freedom-of-navigation operation. During the first operation by the USS Lassen, where it passed within 12 nautical miles (22 km) of Subi Reef in the Spratly Islands chain, it was shadowed and warned by Chinese boats — including nonnaval vessels.
“During the Lassen one it was apparent that they were being controlled, that they weren’t operating independently, and that is something that is in our calculus now,” Aucoin said of the Chinese boats. “How do we approach that when it is not gray hull versus another gray hull, it’s other types of ships. I think we’ll see more of that in the future.”
Chinese navy commander Adm. Wu Shengli said in January that China had no plans to militarize the South China Sea. Still, the country would “never be defenseless,” Wu said. The degree of defensive facilities depends on how much China is under threat, he said.
The U.S.’s 7th Fleet has patrolled Asia’s waters since World War II. Its coverage area extends from Japan to India.
Aucoin said there were no formal talks to bring coast guards under the code for unplanned encounters at sea. “I know I am asking our coast guard to become more involved, to help us with these types of operations because it’s not simply gray hulls anymore,” he said. “I think having a code of conduct that would cover them would be a good thing.”
China has nearly finished a giant coast guard ship and will probably deploy it armed with machine guns and shells in the South China Sea, the Global Times reported in January, dubbing the vessel “The Beast.” China Coast Guard vessel 3901, with a 12,000-ton displacement, will carry 76 mm rapid fire guns, two auxiliary guns and two anti-aircraft machine guns, the paper reported.
China’s so-called white-hulled fleet previously involved ships armed at most with water canon and sirens. The ship now under construction is larger than some of the U.S. naval vessels that patrol the area.
It will be the second of China’s mega-cutters, which are the largest coast guard vessels in the world, according to the Global Times. A similar boat entered service last year in the East China Sea, where China is separately involved in a territorial dispute with Japan over the Senkaku Islands, which Beijing calls the Diaoyus.
The country also said in January it had successfully completed test flights of civilian aircraft to a new airfield on Fiery Cross Reef, drawing protests from countries including Vietnam. Aucoin said flying fighter aircraft out of the area would have a destabilizing effect and could prompt a U.S. response. (Aucoin misjudged. It was intended for expanded tourism to deal with U.S. warships. CPL Feb. 21, 2016)
“They do have an operational airfield but I don’t know when they will start flying fighter-type aircraft out of there,” Aucoin said. “We will fly, sail and operate wherever international law permits, and that includes flying over that airspace.”
He called for greater transparency from China on its intentions generally in the South China Sea. “I think that would relieve some of the angst that we are now seeing, that we are unsure where they are taking this,” Aucoin said. “What has made China powerful, great, is being able to operate through these waters. We just want them to respect those rights so that we can all continue to prosper.” (Aucoin unintentionally revealed that he was perplexed. CPL Feb 21, 2016)
The Renaissance of Spiritualism
Feb 18, 2016
出版書籍/books published (9) 論文與評論/papers & opeds (4) 講演與受訪/speeches & interviews (2) 全球磁變/Global shift (1) 休閒/leisure (9) 授課資料/teaching (4) 心靈探索/Spiritual Exploration (2)
