蔡政府不懂基層

2017/07/09 自由時報 鄭琪芳

http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/1117276

P贊同賴清德 一例一休趕快修

2017/07/09 自由時報 沈佩瑤

http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/business/paper/1117322

■ 支持民進黨的自由時報批評民進黨總統領導的政府「不懂基層」、「一例一休……勞工未蒙其利、先受其害」,並報導民進黨台南市長向中央喊話「一例一休應該修法」。

林中斌 2017.7.10

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公投一年後 過半英人想留歐

孫宇青, 自由時報 , 2017/7/3

http://news.ltn.com.tw/news/world/paper/1115712

What's gone wrong with democracy?

The Economist, March 1, 2014

http://www.economist.com/news/essays/21596796-democracy-was-most-successful-political-idea-20th-century-why-has-it-run-trouble-and-what-can-be-do

Is Democracy Dead?

Tony Blair, The New York Times, DEC 4, 2014

https://www.nytimes.com/2014/12/04/opinion/tony-blair-is-democracy-dead.html

accessed July 10, 2017

■ 一年前多數英國人公投要脫歐。今天多數英國人要留歐。讓人民作決策是最好的辦法嗎?

■ 2014年12月4日英國前首相布萊爾在紐約時報上撰文「民主已死?」

■ 2014年3月1日英國經濟學人發表長文「民主的毛病在哪兒?」

■ 英國是民主先進國家,它的民主出了問題,我們跟進它實行民主又該如何?

林中斌 2017.7.10

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The Resistance: Impeachment Anxiety

Charles M. Blow, The New York Times, JUNE 12, 2017

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/12/opinion/the-resistance-impeachment-anxiety.html

accessed July 10, 2017

■ 「如果特別檢察官Mueller找到美國總統川普犯罪的證據,美國憲法是否允許Mueller起訴川普?」美國大多數法律專家說:不行。他們說:只要總統在位,他即可免於被起訴。

■ 看來,川普將作完四年總統的任期。如果2020年屆時美國經濟還可以(不一定最好,目前美國經濟仍在復甦),他將連任,作完八年總統。

林中斌 2017.7.10

 

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Why Running May Be Good for Your Back

GRETCHEN REYNOLDS, The New York Times, JUNE 7, 2017

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/07/well/move/why-running-may-be-good-for-your-back.html

accessed July 10, 2017

■ 瑞典科學家發現跑步不僅未傷脊椎,反而增強它。推翻之前主流看法。

■ 跑步距離不重要。快走的效果也一樣好。

林中斌 2017.7.10

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領帶的「酒窩」

2009年到2017

2017/07/08

2009/10/30

 

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Trump claims ‘national security victory’ after Supreme Court allows travel ban

June 27, 2017

https://www.ft.com/content/2f518fa2-5a87-11e7-9bc8-8055f264aa8b

accessed June 27, 2017

 

● 美國最高法院居然全數通過支持川普對6個回教國家旅客禁止入境的政策,之前美國地方法院數次推動川普之禁令.

● 此外,6月20日美國眾議院 “特別選舉”(Special House election) 喬治亞州及南卡羅來納州的共和黨候選人 Karen Handel及Ralph Norman都贏得選舉

● 美國經濟復甦仍然在持續,川普當選後大家所憂慮的 “川普震盪”(Trump bump)並未發生

● 川普雖然民調支持度低,但很可能做完四年不被彈劾而下台.

● 如果在2020年,美國經濟過得去,(不見得是很好),川普不無可能連任做8年的總統

 

林中斌 2017.6.27

 


The US Supreme Court handed Donald Trump a partial but significant victory on Monday, allowing his controversial ban on travellers from six Muslim-majority nations to take effect for people who lack a “bona fide relationship” in the US.

In practice, the unanimous decision will allow into the US only individuals with a “close familial relationship” to a US citizen or a formal tie to an American company or organisation, the court said.

The president welcomed the ruling as “a clear victory for our national security”, saying it would allow him to “use an important tool for protecting our nation’s homeland” from threats from “six terror-prone countries”. 

“As president, I cannot allow people into our country who want to do us harm,” Mr Trump said. “I want people who can love the United States and all of its citizens, and who will be hardworking and productive.”

Mr Trump’s attempts to restrict entry into the US, which began just a week after his inauguration, ignited the first big controversy of his presidency. Protests snarled airports and lawsuits quickly erupted in multiple federal courts.

Monday’s ruling represented his first legal win after a series of sharp defeats, but sets up a potential showdown over presidential power. 

“The most significant aspect of this is that it’s unanimous, that all the justices agreed the lower courts made a big mistake,” said Josh Blackman, a professor at the South Texas College of Law. 

The ruling effectively suspended the lower courts’ decisions while the Supreme Court itself can hear arguments on the merits of the case. Acting on the final day of their annual term, the justices will not provide a full hearing in the case until they reconvene in October, leaving much of Mr Trump’s ban in place for at least three months.

Opponents of the ban warned that the ruling could spur a wave of new legal challenges as travellers attempt to prove they should be allowed into the US.

The court’s decision is likely to spawn “chaos at the border and new lawsuits as foreign nationals and refugees argue that they are entitled to enter the United States,” said Stephen Yale-Loehr, a Cornell University Law School professor. 

Two federal appeals courts — in cases involving refugee groups, US citizens with foreign relatives and the state of Hawaii — have blocked the administration’s second attempt at a temporary travel ban since it was issued on March 6.

Judges in both cases cited Mr Trump’s campaign trail calls for a ban on Muslims entering the US as proof that his order was motivated by unconstitutional religious animus rather than national security concerns. 
Mr Trump’s travel order would have halted for 90 days all arrivals from Iran, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria and Yemen to permit a study of foreign governments’ security vetting procedures. The order also would have barred new refugee arrivals for 120 days and capped the annual total of such admissions at 50,000.

Republican Handel Wins Georgia House Election, GOP Keeps Seat

 

By Arit John

2017621 上午10:25 [台北] 2017621 下午6:36 [台北]

  • Former Georgia Secretary of State Handel defeats Ossoff
  • Democrats hoped to capitalize on Trump’s low approval ratings

GOP's Handel Wins Close Race for Georgia House Seat

Sen. Cardin Says Trump Travel Ban Creates Confusion

Trump Scheduled to Meet With Putin During G-20 Summit

GOP's Handel Wins Close Race for Georgia House Seat

Republican Karen Handel defeated a well-funded opponent in a special election for a U.S. House seat in Georgia, a setback for Democrats who hoped President Donald Trump’s low approval ratings would help them win congressional races.

Handel, 55, won in a suburban Atlanta district held by the GOP since 1979 despite raising far less money than Democrat Jon Ossoff, 30, in the most expensive House race in U.S. history. Handel will fill a seat vacated by Tom Price, who was appointed by Trump as Health and Human Services secretary.

Handel won 51.9 percent of votes to Ossoff’s 48.1 percent with all precincts reporting, according to the Associated Press.

Handel thanked the president while addressing supporters Tuesday night, prompting chants of “Trump, Trump, Trump” from the crowd. “Tonight, I stand before you extraordinarily humbled and honored at the tremendous privilege and high responsibility that you and the people across the sixth district have given to me to represent you in the United States House of Representatives,” she said.

Citing the June 14 shooting at a congressional Republican baseball practice that left House Majority Whip Steve Scalise injured, Handel urged a “more civil way to deal with our disagreements.” 

“In these United States of America, no one, no one should ever feel their life threatened over their political beliefs and positions,” she said.

 

Trump Cheers

The result of Tuesday’s election likely will embolden Trump and his legislative push to dismantle Obamacare and overhaul taxes. The president raised money for Handel and repeatedly tweeted in support of her candidacy. 

Democrats also lost a special election Tuesday for a House seat in South Carolina vacated by White House budget director Mick Mulvaney. In that race, Republican Ralph Norman had been heavily favored to defeat the Democrat, former Goldman Sachs tax expert Archie Parnell.

Overall, the special House elections held since Trump’s inauguration have been closer than Republicans would’ve expected in the traditionally right-leaning districts.

“Well, the Special Elections are over and those that want to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN are 5 and O!” Trump said in a tweet after the results were announced. “All the Fake News, all the money spent = 0.”

 

Arm’s Length

Handel sought to keep the president at arm’s length, although her platform included priorities similar to Trump’s. Ossoff avoided attacking Trump in an effort to appeal to voters in the Republican district, focusing his campaign on reducing the deficit, cutting government spending and bringing high-tech jobs to the area. Polls in advance of the election had shown the race virtually tied, within the margins of error.

The president’s approval rating was 37 percent in a Gallup poll taken June 17-19 as the Federal Bureau of Investigation and congressional committees investigate possible Trump campaign ties to Russia and whether the president obstructed the FBI’s probe.

Handel, a former Georgia secretary of state, raised $4.3 million, according to Federal Election Commission filings. Ossoff, a former congressional staffer, raised $23.6 million.

Despite Ossoff’s fundraising advantage, Handel was boosted by $18.2 million in outside spending, including $6.5 million from the House leadership-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund super-PAC and $6.7 million from the National Republican Congressional Committee, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a nonpartisan research group. 

“Democrats from coast to coast threw everything they had at this race, and Karen would not be defeated,” Republican House Speaker Paul Ryan of Wisconsin said in a statement.

Ossoff benefited from just under $8 million in outside spending, including $5 million from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee. 

“This is not the outcome any of us hoped for, but this is the beginning of something much bigger than us,” Ossoff told supporters Tuesday night.

In spite of Ossoff’s loss, Democrats say they have a better chance of winning dozens of Republican-held seats in next year’s midterm election. Democrats are seeking to take control of the House, dominated 238-193 by Republicans before Tuesday’s vote.

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朱成虎答中評:兩岸軍事交流曾被美國叫停

JUNE 26, 2017

http://hk.crntt.com/doc/1047/2/3/3/104723318.html?coluid=1&kindid=0&docid=104723318&mdate=0626093923

accessed June 30, 2017

● 朱不經意反映 -- 蔡有別於獨派。蔡不會宣佈台獨 。甚至影射:蔡受獨夾持。
"朱成虎對兩岸關係總體上表示樂觀,'不是說兩岸關係不會出問題,而是我認為蔡英文不會宣佈台獨,蔡英文不想把兩岸關係搞壞,但是民進黨內有急獨派,蔡英文沒有辦法掌控這部分力量。'”
其實,區別獨與蔡已是對岸台辦以外的官員私下常表達的看法。進一步可稍誇張的說,這種含蓄體諒蔡的看法與台灣藍營對蔡的批判成為有趣的對比。 
今年三月7日兩會期間,旺報報導:有不具名的日本記者對北京官員提到--"習近平批台獨時,並沒有點蔡英文,這跟過去把台獨與陳水扁劃上等號不同。"

● 朱提及動武,但未鼓吹武統,有別於王洪光等武統的主張。

 

林中斌 2017.6.30

 

中評社北京6月26日電(中評社報道組)“

 

   馬英九當了台灣的領導人之後,曾經提出來要派四位軍人來大陸談兩岸的軍事互信問題,我們也準備了四個軍人,準備到台灣去。但是美國就劃了五條紅線,阻止了這次交流,這就使得兩岸關係一直到今天都是半死不活。”中國國防大學的戰略研究教授朱成虎少將昨日在第六屆世界和平論壇上回答中評記者提問時說。 

   朱成虎表示,在台灣問題上美國人早就劃了幾條紅線:第一,兩岸不能建立軍事互信;第二,兩岸在南海問題上不能聯合起來對付其他的聲索國;第三,兩岸在釣魚島問題上不能聯合起來對付日本;第四,兩岸不能就軍事技術進行交流;第五,兩岸退役將領的交流不能機制化。這五條紅線嚴重阻礙了兩岸的交流。 

   朱成虎對中評社表示,在中美關係中,台灣問題永遠是一個問題。美國在兩岸關係上的政策有幾個方面需要注意:第一,美國絕對不會支持中國統一,因為統一之後的中國是一個更加難以對付的對手;第二,美國不願意在兩岸關係中被邊緣化,這一點大陸也非常明確;第三,台灣問題是美國掌握在手中能夠給大陸製造麻煩的一個軟肋。 

 

  “如果中美關係出現問題,台灣問題會更加突出。即使中美關係不出現問題,以中國高速發展的態勢,眼看要取代美國成為世界霸主了,美國也會用台灣問題來制約中國,不會讓中國順順當當發展。”朱成虎說。 

   朱成虎對兩岸關係總體上表示樂觀,“不是說兩岸關係不會出問題,而是我認為蔡英文不會宣佈台獨,蔡英文不想把兩岸關係搞壞,但是民進黨內有急獨派,蔡英文沒有辦法掌控這部分力量。” 

   朱成虎對中評社表示,作為大陸人,要準備以各種方式解決台灣問題,“解決台灣問題就是實現祖國的統一。”朱成虎說,“一個分裂的中國就不能算世界的強國。” 

   朱成虎先後畢業於中國人民解放軍國際關係學院和國防大學。曾作為高級訪問學者在美、英等國客座研究,曾任國防大學戰略研究所副所長,國防大學外訓系主任,台灣問題研究中心領導小組成員,現任國防大學防務學院院長。曾多次主持或參加重大研究課題,著有《中美關係的發展變化及趨勢》、《當代美國軍事》等多部學術專著。

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Plitvicka Jezera, Croatia 16湖國家公園,克羅埃西亞

June 16, 2017

克羅埃西亞的16湖國家公園。像台階般的湖泊,節節下降。從下望上,瀑布水有如來自16層天上。湖水清澈見底。石灰岩硬度3(玻璃硬度7,銅板硬度5),易溶於水,為大自然雕工提供絕佳石材。景色寧靜,很難想像科沃內戰時,公園裡還埋下地雷。和平轉變了一切。德國的遊客說,如今他的鄰居、朋友都來克羅埃西亞遊玩、就業。近5、6年,全世界的遊客都蜂擁而來。韓國人、印度人、澳洲人、美國人、中國人、台灣人.....。

 

林中斌 2017.6.17

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/5645394

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Trogir and Zadar, Croatia

June 18, 2017

Ancient cities established by the Greek colonists in the 4th and 3rd century B.C. respectively.

 

Chong-Pin Lin

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/5645367

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Trogir, Croatia

June 19/20, 2017

The charming little island of a fortress city was colonized and ruled consecutively by the Greeks, the Romans, the Dukedom of Venice, Austro-Hungarian Empire, and Yugoslavia Kingdom as well as The Socialist Republic of Yugoslavia. The current city population is slightly more than 10,000. People are nice, cars always stop for the pedestrians, and owner of our apartment would bring cake to us upon arrival, crepes next morning, and a bottle a wine the day of departure.

 

Chong-Pin Lin

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/5645340

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