林中斌 部落格 / Blog Chong-Pin Lin

武統論 趨寂靜 兩岸啟新局

2017/4/21 聯合報

https://udn.com/news/story/7340/2416269

accessed Apr 21,2017

峰會川普 色厲內荏

2017/4/6 聯合報

https://udn.com/news/story/7340/2388227

accessed Apr 6,2017

學者：川習合作對台灣正面

2017/4/3 聯合報

https://udn.com/news/story/10764/2380694

accessed Apr 3,2017

●  對於3天後(4月6日)的川習會，我有說川習會合作多於對抗，我沒有說「川習合作對台灣」。

●  事後發展顯示川習合作超過預期。

                                                                     林中斌 2017.4.3

China's Xi hails ties with Philippines as Duterte cools on US

2017/5/3 AFP

http://newscdn.newsrep.net/h5/nrshare.html?r=3&lan=en_WD&pid=14&id=6Pc54b6f63s_wd&app_lan&mcc=466&declared_lan=en_WD&pubaccount=ocms_0&referrer=200620&showall=1

accessed May 4,2017

●  習近平與菲律賓總統熱線通話後，杜特蒂說他可能排不出時間接受川普總統訪美。雖然美方尚未定邀他訪美時間。   

林中斌 2017/5/4

Trump’s Turn Toward China Curtails Navy Patrols in Disputed Zones

2017/5/2 The New York Times

https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/02/world/asia/navy-south-china-sea.html?_r=1

accessed Mar 4, 2017

●  自從2017 年2 月以來，川普政府已經3 次否決美太平言總部建議，派軍艦至南海以 "自由航行"之名義挑戰中國擴建島礁而宣稱的12海里領海。

川普在年月川習會之後高度依賴習近平的合作以制約發展核子武器的北韓。這是最主要的原因。

之前多年以來，美國海空軍在南海和東海挑戰中國的作為之後會持續嗎？

最後，美國會逐漸默認中國在東亞和西太平洋的勢力範圍。

林中斌 2017.5.4

大勢已去！十九大前四省省委書記被免職 江派各大窩點潰不成軍

2017/4/1 大紀元

http://www.epochtimes.com/gb/17/4/1/n8991233.htm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Ryl1lACqsg&from=singlemessage&app=desktop

●  海南、甘肅、山東、黒龍江省委書記一把手同時換人。江派人馬已潰不成軍。被換調的皆為江澤明、曾慶紅提拔人馬，除貪腐女色之外，多與打法輪功有關。

●  新派的一把手皆為異地調任，破格任用。

林中斌 2017.5.2

accessed May 2,2017

Who's Faking, Trump Or The News?

2017/5/1 Huffington Post

http://newscdn.newsrep.net/h5/nrshare.html?r=3&lan=en_WD&pid=14&id=LXc3fcaf5mN_wd&app_lan&mcc=466&declared_lan=en_WD&pubaccount=ocms_0&referrer=200620&showall=1

accessed May 2, 2017

● 超過半數的美國人不信任川普，也不信任媒體。

但不信任川普的多於不信任媒體的。

回顧過去，2003年開始，美國人不信任媒體的大幅增加。那是小布希發動伊拉克戰爭的一年。

● 美國未來取決於10%的選民。他們投票給川普，但要看他實際治理成績，再決定下次選他與否。

林中斌 2017.5.2

● Over 50% of American people distrust both Trump and the media.

But more distrust Trump than the media.

Historically, distrust of the media significantly grew after 2003, the year George W. Bush launched the war in Iraq.

● 10% of voters who voted for Trump but will judge him by the result of his performance will decide the future of America.

Chong-Pin Lin May 2 2017

中央電視台首次做佛教專題，釋放出重大信號！ ！ ！

2017/04-17 與心靈有約

http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/PnNpj5xsqSov84lB7KbK1Q

Poll: Trump's approval rating, the worst in recent history, is starting to rise again

2017/04/20 Aol.

https://www.aol.com/article/news/2017/04/20/poll-trumps-approval-rating-the-worst-in-recent-history-starting-to-rise/22048350/?a_dgi=aolshare_facebook

accessed Apr 22, 2017

● 川普民調支持度從3月26日的最低點35%， 經過4月初一週內，5項政策大轉彎後，於4月17日，已爬升至43%。

● 5項大轉彎包括4月6/7日川習會，轟敘利亞與俄羅斯交惡，肯定北約未過時，轉口肯定準會主席珍妮特˙葉倫(Janet Yellen)，說進出口銀行仍然有用。
這些政策大轉彎都在他於4月5日自國安會移除他原來的"分身"巴農之後。

林中斌 4月22日,2017

● Trump's approval rate has risen from his lowest of 35% on March 26 to a high of 43% on April 17, after his 5 major policy turn-arounds during one week in early April.

● These 5 policy turn-arounds include Trump-Xi meeting April 6/7, missile attack on Syria with plummeting U.S.- Russia relations, affirming that NATO was not "obsolete", praising Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen whom he had incessantly attacked since 2016, and asserting the usefullness of Export-Import Bank.
All these 5 policy turn-arounds occurred after his removal of Stephen Bannon from the National Security Council on April 5, the day before Xi Jinping arrived at Mar-a-Lago, Florida.

Chong-Pin Lin April 22, 2017

九寨溝 Jiuzhaigou, China

2017/04/10

http://chongpinlin.pixnet.net/album/set/4197108

● 兩千多年的古城和水利工程：成都-都江堰以及高原仙境九寨溝 

Two-thousand year-old city and hydraulic construction plus a Shangrila in Sichuan Province, central China.

林中斌 2017.4.10