林中斌 部落格 / Blog Chong-Pin Lin

Elizabeth Warren jumps out to a big lead in MoveOn poll

Accessed July 1, 2019

-- 2019.6.25 美國對自由派的民調顯示華倫在民主黨23位總統候選人中竄起。 獲得38%的支持。第二位桑德斯只有17%。第三位拜登15%。
--2018.12.12 上次民調顯示華倫只獲6.4%支持。德州眾議員 Beto O'Rourke領先有 15.6%支持, 桑德斯13.1%。
-- 上次未決定的自由派選民有30%，這次只剩2%。
-- 看來，明年年中民主黨推出的總統候選人，非常可能就是華倫。明年11月，兩黨決勝負的就是共和黨川普對民主黨華倫。
-- 華倫基本支持者之一就是被貪婪資本大亨整慘的弱勢白人選民，那正是川普的基本盤。
-- 反對華倫的大勢力是富貴大企業。但是，據私下訊息顯示：猶太人擔心被川普無意激起的反猶風潮威脅，暗中已在挺華倫。而猶太領袖幕後控制大企業和媒體。
-- 另外可能反對華倫的是保守的右派軍人。但華倫來自軍人家庭，兄弟是軍人。她自己在1990s曾是註冊的共和黨。
她至今仍說：我骨子裡是共和黨 (I am Republican in my bones.)
-- 還有可能反對哈佛大學教授華倫的是美國內陸的鄉土農民，但華倫來自鄉土的Oklahoma州。
-- 如果美國國內政治變化，世界局勢將並非今日主流所預測的趨勢。
-- 此議題雖然看來不起眼，但可能將牽動大局。

林中斌 試摘譯及推論 
敬請賜正
2019.6.27

●The poll, released Tuesday (June 25, 2019) and first reported by NBC News, shows Warren is the top choice of 38 percent of MoveOn's members nationwide — and the top choice of voters surveyed in the early-voting states of California, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire and South Carolina.
●Sanders comes in second nationwide — 17 percent say he's their first choice — trailing Warren by more than 20 points. Former Vice President Joe Biden (15 percent) and Mayor Pete Buttigieg of South Bend, Indiana (12 percent), are the only other candidates to earn double-digit suppor
●MoveOn's first straw poll of the 2020 contest (December 12, 2018)found a mostly wide-open field, with almost 3 in 10 respondents unsure of whom they would support. At the time, former Texas Rep. Beto O'Rourke edged out Biden for the top spot with 15.6 percent, and Sanders came in third with 13.1 percent. Warren netted only 6.4 percent of the respondents.
This latest poll, though, shows a massive shift. Now, only 2 percent of voters say they're undecided on their first choice. In 2018, almost 30 percent of the respondents deemed themselves undecided

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/elizabeth-warren-jumps-out-big-lead-moveon-poll-n1021191?fbclid=IwAR3L7k0jl21189jKghGoUDzRZj4MUYSP5pLxIloW4Jovpxnv811nze2pic8

accessed June 27, 2019

Courtesy Tony Feng

圖片來源：https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-election/elizabeth-warren-jumps-out-big-lead-moveon-poll-n1021191?fbclid=IwAR3L7k0jl21189jKghGoUDzRZj4MUYSP5pLxIloW4Jovpxnv811nze2pic8