林中斌:習近平對台靈活多樣
中央社 2014.03.06

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美國之音 美國東部時間: 05:18 20140226日星期三
台海關係:習近平朝“一國兩府”方向邁進?

林中斌(美國之音燕青拍攝)
http://www.voachinese.com/content/taiwan-prc-20140225/1858875.html accessed Feb 27, 2014

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He is very honest, and says bluntly what most have already known.
However, the factors he ignores are
1. China is evolving spiritually besides materially. Xi Jinping is not an atheist, and so are Li Keqiang, Ma Kai....(not to mention Hu Jintao, Jiang Zemin......)
2. Taiwan has its strength in the society which provides a catalyst to slowly and gardually transform the nature of the hegemon China.
3. The 21st century differs from the past in that economics takes command, and people's satisfaction ultimately decides the survival of a regime, either democratic or non-democratic (e.g. The former Soviet Union)
Chong-Pin Lin  February 26, 2014
 
這是一篇震撼台灣的觀察。
現實主義大師非常誠實,說了許多我們已知道的趨勢。
依我淺見,他或許忽略了至少三個因素(詳見以下英文留言)
簡單說: 1.中國在演化,不只物質上,心靈上也是。習李皆非無神論者。
2.台灣的強項是社會,將有催化劑的作用。
3. 21世紀不同於以往在於經濟掛帥,人民滿意度決定政權最後的存廢。君不見前蘇聯如何突然崩潰?
林中斌  2014年 2月26
 

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這是一篇平衡客觀的分析。它批判了以“美國為中心”的觀點。作者在美國教書,所以也可安全的點出俄國人傳統的侵略行為的思想根據。他最後的建議超越了狹隘的以“國家利益”為正當理由的觀念。
                                                                                   林中斌  201436

This is a balanced analysis of the Crimean situation, quite different from the U.S.-centered view of the world. Yet the author teaches in the U.S. and can point out the aggressive tradition of the Russians as well.  His final suggestion transcends the confines of the fashionable “national interest” justification of all state behaviors.     
                                                                 Chong-Pin Lin March 6, 2014

 
Crimea, the Tinderbox
By CHARLES KING   New York Times MARCH 1, 2014

 
 
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/03/opinion/crimea-the-tinderbox.html?hp&rref=opinion&_r=0  accessed March 7, 2014

The United States typically interprets its own actions through the lens of its principles. It reads the principles of other countries from their behavior. In most instances that leads to precisely the hypocrisies that Russia, China and other countries find so easy to condemn.

The Crimean affair is a grand experiment in Mr. Putin’s strategy of equivalence: countering every criticism of his government’s behavior with a page from the West’s own playbook.

 

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 February 12, 2014 Alice Chang, Hsintien  2014212日張家珮,新店

Having undergone much pressure at work, Alice resumed praying and reciting sutras. After this, she could face pressure with composure.

 

張家珮念完經後,面對工作壓力,心情仍然安定,而且因應衝擊卻一笑置之。


 http://album.blog.yam.com/show.php?a=CPLin&f=8367327&i=26016366
http://album.blog.yam.com/show.php?a=CPLin&f=8367327&i=26016365


 

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 Professors, We Need You!
Nicholas Kristof
International New York Times   Feb. 15, 2014
 
Political science Ph.D.’s often aren’t prepared to do real-world analysis,” says Ian Bremmer, a Stanford political science Ph.D. who runs the Eurasia Group, a consulting firm. In the late 1930s and early 1940s, one-fifth of articles in The American Political Science Review focused on policy prescriptions; at last count, the share was down to 0.3 percent.
  

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一場王張會 掀兩岸牌不給力現實
賴寧寧 商業周刊 2014.02.24
 
「就好像已經吃了三隻大閘蟹,再多吃一隻,會有多少滿意度呢?」前國防部長林中斌認為,不少藍營人士期待王張會、馬習會的「兩岸牌」,能對年底選情、甚至二O一六年大選加分,但,國民黨的「兩岸牌」,就是那第四隻大閘蟹,效益不會太大。
 

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 酷寒肆虐 暖化怯遁 CO2攀升
林中斌 聯合報 2014.2.21

 
 

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馬習會/林中斌:國際場合舉行 恐非易事
中央社 閻光濤/整理
 

前國防部副部長林中斌14日告訴中央社,中國大陸國家主席習近平目前面臨國內外挑戰均鉅,「台灣議題優先順序很低,除非馬習會能讓習近平統一(台灣)目的實際往前邁開一步,否則習近平看樣子意願不高。」


他說,「與前中共總書記胡錦濤相較,習近平有雄厚的政治資本,絕對有統一台灣的野心。習近平如今對兩岸政策『說的少,做的多』,多半交給下面的人(台辦系統)去衝。要的是爭取台灣的民心與民意。」
 

 

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 主題:
談王張會

雙方脫掉白手套,65年來首度互稱官銜,從接機開始,雙方互動規格,如何交手,這其中又透露出哪些政治玄機?

專訪林中斌教授
2014
年2月12日晚上10點

TVBS 56頻道,由夏嘉璐主持《Today正經話》敬請觀看U-tube 



 

 

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