林中斌 部落格 / Blog Chong-Pin Lin

20120520 林中斌：馬最缺的 是大戰略

20120523中華人民和國外交專題、中國戰略理論與應用、中共外交政策當週講義(Assignment Reading)

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學生論文書

20120516 林中斌：全球上升的災變或將下降

Election Campaign Tips From Cicero

Foreign Affairs   May/ June2012

林中斌序：競選抹黑在兩千年前的羅馬民主就有了。那還是雄辯家-西賽洛所採取的作法。結果呢? 輸掉選舉的人不服，起兵掀起內戰。民主為獨裁所取代。共和結束成為帝國。廿年後，西賽洛死於戰場。

兩千年後，柯林頓競選大將自豪的承認，他從年輕時代便從事競選抹黑，並為老闆贏得總統大選。美國的將來會如何?學習美國的台灣民主將來會如何?
勿忘：歐巴馬拒絕抹黑對手。                  (2012. 5.15)

Chong-Pin Lin’s Note: Negative campaigning is nothing new to politics. It had existed two thousand years ago in the Roman Republic, and was adopted by the famous orator Marcus Tullius Cicero. He is known to us as the one who conquered his stuttering by practicing public speech on the beach with a pebble in the mouth.

What happened to Cicero’s election campaign? He won. But his rival who apparently refused to accept the result took to armed rebellion and was killed in battle. Cicero, two decades later, was also killed in the civil wars. And the democracy became dictatorship, while the Roman Republic was replaced the Roman Empire.

President Bill Clinton won his elections thanks to campaign strategist James Carville who introduced Cicero’s campaign manual written by the latter’s brother. Carville honestly or unabashedly admitted that he began applying negative campaign tactics soon after his college graduation.

 What will become of America’s democracy? What will become of Taiwan’s democracy modeled after the U.S.?

A reminder: In 2008, Barack Obama refused to engage in smearing campaigns. He only pushed back when attacked by his opponent. (May 15, 2012)

 

20120514 薄熙來會復活嗎？

20120509  When China suddenly soft-pedals


on foreign affairs



Chong-Pin Lin

http://www.wantchinatimes.com/news-subclass-cnt.aspx?id=20120509000119&cid=1703





 

Want China Times   May 9, 2012 

When domestic tension rises, Beijing turns assertive abroad. Likewise, when domestic tension subsides, Beijing's external behavior exhibits flexibility and finesse.

沒禮貌比沒專業更糟

台積電董事長張忠謀在不同場合都談過『收訊力』──傾聽的力量。

「常常有人問我成功的原因為何，我想我『收訊』的能力已培養了很多年，」他歸納成功之道時指出。

10年前，張忠謀在交通大學對高階經理人授課時，特別提到他與人對話時進行的『收訊力測驗』：

「第一個看我講話時，他會不會打斷我？」

張忠謀說：「打斷話的人既不禮貌也對自己不利，因為他打斷我，以為知道我接著要講什麼，可是90％他都猜錯。」

統一企業董事長高清愿，是另一個善於從小處識人品的例子。

20120509中華人民和國外交專題、中國戰略理論與應用、中共外交政策當週講義(Assignment Reading)

Download Link: https://docs.google.com/open?id=0B2CEVviUgny1UW5zQW8wNE1ZR3M

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Second step: To click where indicated Click here "download " , and then Click " download anyway"

20120507 By the time Barack Obama became president, the trail to Osama Bin Laden had long gone cold