The Resistance: Impeachment Anxiety
Charles M. Blow, The New York Times, JUNE 12, 2017
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/12/opinion/the-resistance-impeachment-anxiety.html
accessed July 10, 2017
■ 「如果特別檢察官Mueller找到美國總統川普犯罪的證據，美國憲法是否允許Mueller起訴川普？」美國大多數法律專家說：不行。他們說：只要總統在位，他即可免於被起訴。
■ 看來，川普將作完四年總統的任期。如果2020年屆時美國經濟還可以（不一定最好，目前美國經濟仍在復甦），他將連任，作完八年總統。
林中斌 2017.7.10
Why Running May Be Good for Your Back
GRETCHEN REYNOLDS, The New York Times, JUNE 7, 2017
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/07/well/move/why-running-may-be-good-for-your-back.html
accessed July 10, 2017
■ 瑞典科學家發現跑步不僅未傷脊椎，反而增強它。推翻之前主流看法。
■ 跑步距離不重要。快走的效果也一樣好。
林中斌 2017.7.10
Trump claims ‘national security victory’ after Supreme Court allows travel ban
June 27, 2017
https://www.ft.com/content/2f518fa2-5a87-11e7-9bc8-8055f264aa8b
accessed June 27, 2017
● 美國最高法院居然全數通過支持川普對6個回教國家旅客禁止入境的政策,之前美國地方法院數次推動川普之禁令.
● 此外,6月20日美國眾議院 “特別選舉”(Special House election) 喬治亞州及南卡羅來納州的共和黨候選人 Karen Handel及Ralph Norman都贏得選舉
● 美國經濟復甦仍然在持續,川普當選後大家所憂慮的 “川普震盪”(Trump bump)並未發生
● 川普雖然民調支持度低,但很可能做完四年不被彈劾而下台.
● 如果在2020年,美國經濟過得去,(不見得是很好),川普不無可能連任做8年的總統
林中斌 2017.6.27
The US Supreme Court handed Donald Trump a partial but significant victory on Monday, allowing his controversial ban on travellers from six Muslim-majority nations to take effect for people who lack a “bona fide relationship” in the US.
In practice, the unanimous decision will allow into the US only individuals with a “close familial relationship” to a US citizen or a formal tie to an American company or organisation, the court said.
The president welcomed the ruling as “a clear victory for our national security”, saying it would allow him to “use an important tool for protecting our nation’s homeland” from threats from “six terror-prone countries”.
“As president, I cannot allow people into our country who want to do us harm,” Mr Trump said. “I want people who can love the United States and all of its citizens, and who will be hardworking and productive.”
Mr Trump’s attempts to restrict entry into the US, which began just a week after his inauguration, ignited the first big controversy of his presidency. Protests snarled airports and lawsuits quickly erupted in multiple federal courts.
Monday’s ruling represented his first legal win after a series of sharp defeats, but sets up a potential showdown over presidential power.
“The most significant aspect of this is that it’s unanimous, that all the justices agreed the lower courts made a big mistake,” said Josh Blackman, a professor at the South Texas College of Law.
The ruling effectively suspended the lower courts’ decisions while the Supreme Court itself can hear arguments on the merits of the case. Acting on the final day of their annual term, the justices will not provide a full hearing in the case until they reconvene in October, leaving much of Mr Trump’s ban in place for at least three months.
Opponents of the ban warned that the ruling could spur a wave of new legal challenges as travellers attempt to prove they should be allowed into the US.
The court’s decision is likely to spawn “chaos at the border and new lawsuits as foreign nationals and refugees argue that they are entitled to enter the United States,” said Stephen Yale-Loehr, a Cornell University Law School professor.
Two federal appeals courts — in cases involving refugee groups, US citizens with foreign relatives and the state of Hawaii — have blocked the administration’s second attempt at a temporary travel ban since it was issued on March 6.
Judges in both cases cited Mr Trump’s campaign trail calls for a ban on Muslims entering the US as proof that his order was motivated by unconstitutional religious animus rather than national security concerns.
Mr Trump’s travel order would have halted for 90 days all arrivals from Iran, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria and Yemen to permit a study of foreign governments’ security vetting procedures. The order also would have barred new refugee arrivals for 120 days and capped the annual total of such admissions at 50,000.
Republican Handel Wins Georgia House Election, GOP Keeps Seat
By Arit John
2017年6月21日 上午10:25 [台北] 2017年6月21日 下午6:36 [台北]
GOP's Handel Wins Close Race for Georgia House Seat
Sen. Cardin Says Trump Travel Ban Creates Confusion
Trump Scheduled to Meet With Putin During G-20 Summit
GOP's Handel Wins Close Race for Georgia House Seat
Republican Karen Handel defeated a well-funded opponent in a special election for a U.S. House seat in Georgia, a setback for Democrats who hoped President Donald Trump’s low approval ratings would help them win congressional races.
Handel, 55, won in a suburban Atlanta district held by the GOP since 1979 despite raising far less money than Democrat Jon Ossoff, 30, in the most expensive House race in U.S. history. Handel will fill a seat vacated by Tom Price, who was appointed by Trump as Health and Human Services secretary.
Handel won 51.9 percent of votes to Ossoff’s 48.1 percent with all precincts reporting, according to the Associated Press.
Handel thanked the president while addressing supporters Tuesday night, prompting chants of “Trump, Trump, Trump” from the crowd. “Tonight, I stand before you extraordinarily humbled and honored at the tremendous privilege and high responsibility that you and the people across the sixth district have given to me to represent you in the United States House of Representatives,” she said.
Citing the June 14 shooting at a congressional Republican baseball practice that left House Majority Whip Steve Scalise injured, Handel urged a “more civil way to deal with our disagreements.”
“In these United States of America, no one, no one should ever feel their life threatened over their political beliefs and positions,” she said.
Trump Cheers
The result of Tuesday’s election likely will embolden Trump and his legislative push to dismantle Obamacare and overhaul taxes. The president raised money for Handel and repeatedly tweeted in support of her candidacy.
Democrats also lost a special election Tuesday for a House seat in South Carolina vacated by White House budget director Mick Mulvaney. In that race, Republican Ralph Norman had been heavily favored to defeat the Democrat, former Goldman Sachs tax expert Archie Parnell.
Overall, the special House elections held since Trump’s inauguration have been closer than Republicans would’ve expected in the traditionally right-leaning districts.
“Well, the Special Elections are over and those that want to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN are 5 and O!” Trump said in a tweet after the results were announced. “All the Fake News, all the money spent = 0.”
Arm’s Length
Handel sought to keep the president at arm’s length, although her platform included priorities similar to Trump’s. Ossoff avoided attacking Trump in an effort to appeal to voters in the Republican district, focusing his campaign on reducing the deficit, cutting government spending and bringing high-tech jobs to the area. Polls in advance of the election had shown the race virtually tied, within the margins of error.
The president’s approval rating was 37 percent in a Gallup poll taken June 17-19 as the Federal Bureau of Investigation and congressional committees investigate possible Trump campaign ties to Russia and whether the president obstructed the FBI’s probe.
Handel, a former Georgia secretary of state, raised $4.3 million, according to Federal Election Commission filings. Ossoff, a former congressional staffer, raised $23.6 million.
Despite Ossoff’s fundraising advantage, Handel was boosted by $18.2 million in outside spending, including $6.5 million from the House leadership-aligned Congressional Leadership Fund super-PAC and $6.7 million from the National Republican Congressional Committee, according to the Center for Responsive Politics, a nonpartisan research group.
“Democrats from coast to coast threw everything they had at this race, and Karen would not be defeated,” Republican House Speaker Paul Ryan of Wisconsin said in a statement.
Ossoff benefited from just under $8 million in outside spending, including $5 million from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee.
“This is not the outcome any of us hoped for, but this is the beginning of something much bigger than us,” Ossoff told supporters Tuesday night.
In spite of Ossoff’s loss, Democrats say they have a better chance of winning dozens of Republican-held seats in next year’s midterm election. Democrats are seeking to take control of the House, dominated 238-193 by Republicans before Tuesday’s vote.
朱成虎答中評：兩岸軍事交流曾被美國叫停
JUNE 26, 2017
http://hk.crntt.com/doc/1047/2/3/3/104723318.html?coluid=1&kindid=0&docid=104723318&mdate=0626093923
accessed June 30, 2017
● 朱不經意反映 -- 蔡有別於獨派。蔡不會宣佈台獨 。甚至影射:蔡受獨夾持。
"朱成虎對兩岸關係總體上表示樂觀，'不是說兩岸關係不會出問題，而是我認為蔡英文不會宣佈台獨，蔡英文不想把兩岸關係搞壞，但是民進黨內有急獨派，蔡英文沒有辦法掌控這部分力量。'”
其實，區別獨與蔡已是對岸台辦以外的官員私下常表達的看法。進一步可稍誇張的說，這種含蓄體諒蔡的看法與台灣藍營對蔡的批判成為有趣的對比。
今年三月7日兩會期間，旺報報導:有不具名的日本記者對北京官員提到--"習近平批台獨時，並沒有點蔡英文，這跟過去把台獨與陳水扁劃上等號不同。"
● 朱提及動武，但未鼓吹武統，有別於王洪光等武統的主張。
林中斌 2017.6.30
中評社北京6月26日電（中評社報道組）“
馬英九當了台灣的領導人之後，曾經提出來要派四位軍人來大陸談兩岸的軍事互信問題，我們也準備了四個軍人，準備到台灣去。但是美國就劃了五條紅線，阻止了這次交流，這就使得兩岸關係一直到今天都是半死不活。”中國國防大學的戰略研究教授朱成虎少將昨日在第六屆世界和平論壇上回答中評記者提問時說。
朱成虎表示，在台灣問題上美國人早就劃了幾條紅線：第一，兩岸不能建立軍事互信；第二，兩岸在南海問題上不能聯合起來對付其他的聲索國；第三，兩岸在釣魚島問題上不能聯合起來對付日本；第四，兩岸不能就軍事技術進行交流；第五，兩岸退役將領的交流不能機制化。這五條紅線嚴重阻礙了兩岸的交流。
朱成虎對中評社表示，在中美關係中，台灣問題永遠是一個問題。美國在兩岸關係上的政策有幾個方面需要注意：第一，美國絕對不會支持中國統一，因為統一之後的中國是一個更加難以對付的對手；第二，美國不願意在兩岸關係中被邊緣化，這一點大陸也非常明確；第三，台灣問題是美國掌握在手中能夠給大陸製造麻煩的一個軟肋。
“如果中美關係出現問題，台灣問題會更加突出。即使中美關係不出現問題，以中國高速發展的態勢，眼看要取代美國成為世界霸主了，美國也會用台灣問題來制約中國，不會讓中國順順當當發展。”朱成虎說。
朱成虎對兩岸關係總體上表示樂觀，“不是說兩岸關係不會出問題，而是我認為蔡英文不會宣佈台獨，蔡英文不想把兩岸關係搞壞，但是民進黨內有急獨派，蔡英文沒有辦法掌控這部分力量。”
朱成虎對中評社表示，作為大陸人，要準備以各種方式解決台灣問題，“解決台灣問題就是實現祖國的統一。”朱成虎說，“一個分裂的中國就不能算世界的強國。”
朱成虎先後畢業於中國人民解放軍國際關係學院和國防大學。曾作為高級訪問學者在美、英等國客座研究，曾任國防大學戰略研究所副所長，國防大學外訓系主任，台灣問題研究中心領導小組成員，現任國防大學防務學院院長。曾多次主持或參加重大研究課題，著有《中美關係的發展變化及趨勢》、《當代美國軍事》等多部學術專著。
China and India Make Big Strides on Climate Change
The Editorial Board, The New York Times, MAY 22, 2017
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/22/opinion/paris-agreement-climate-china-india.html?_r=0
accessed May 23, 2017
● 中國與印度在環保上突飛猛進。而美國從氣候巴黎協定退出。
● 中國 CO2 排放量比預計早 10 年開始下降。
● 印度將於 2020 年從非化石來源（非石油或媒）獲得 40% 之電力。
● 2016 年中國充電汽車販賣量上升 70%。
林中斌 2017.6.2
CNN Fires Kathy Griffin For Her 'Decapitated Trump' Photo
Papri Das, The Quint, MAY 31, 2017
● 原來事事反川普的CNN居然把汙辱川普的主持人革職了!
● 幕後的原因可能是正統猶太人的川普女婿庫什那通過猶太勢力的管道施展影響力。
林中斌 2017.6.2
● Jared Kushner after being elevated to Trump's most trusted advisor can now tap into the invisible, discreet and powerful Jewish connections behind him to tame the once hostile media toward Trump.
Chong-Pin Lin June 1, 2017
Macron Erupts On World Stage With Trump Snub and a Bromance (1)
Helene Fouquet, Josh Wingrove, Bloomberg, MAY 27, 2017
accessed May 28, 2017
Bravo, Manual Macron for standing up to Trump and showing friendship and respect to other leaders.
Chong-Pin Lin May 28, 2017
法國總統馬可宏是唯一敢挑戰川普的國家領袖。但他很技巧。用力捏川普手至讓它發白，跟川普講法文不用英文翻譯，而跟英國首相講英文。突顯川普沒文化。這一且讓川普有苦難言。哈!大快世界人心。
他居然在握手時瞪安倍，兩人互瞪比賽。是因為安倍急切交好川普嗎?
林中斌 2017.5.28
Analysis: Macron proves why the Trump handshake matters so much
Chris Cillizza, CNN International, MAY 29, 2017
http://edition.cnn.com/2017/05/29/politics/macron-trump-handshake/index.html?eref=mobiles_republic
accessed May 30, 2017
法國總統馬克宏說:
我跟他(川普)的握手並非無意(純潔)的。這不是政治的花樣，而是表露赤裸事實的一刻。我們必需表示絕不絲毫讓步，甚至象徵性的讓步也不。
林中斌 試譯 2017.5.30
"My handshake with him, it's not innocent," Macron said. "It's not the alpha and the omega of politics, but a moment of truth."
He added: "One must show that we won't make little concessions, even symbolic ones."
馬克宏除了知曉哲學之外，拉小提琴(音樂),寫詩(文學),編演舞台劇(與老師接近蹦出愛情)。當然還有會賺大錢(Goldman Sachs)。
到現在為止，馬克宏尚只是個空頭總統。國會裡連一席都沒有!!他成立的嶄新的黨還沒有參選進國會呢!!! 然而他已在國際舞台上展露他的信念、軟硬皆具的外交手腕。
林中斌 2017.5.31
蔡英文執政週年總體檢》內外交迫 蔡施政陷困境
2017/05/16自由時報 鍾麗華
http://m.ltn.com.tw/news/focus/paper/1102594
accessed May 16, 2017
● 最有資料、最有論點的批評蔡總統執政週年竟然來自最挺執政民進黨的媒體。
林中斌 2017.5.16
Comey’s firing meets disapproval, but view of Trump little changed: poll
AARON ZITNER, THE WALL STREET JOURNAL, MAY 15, 2017
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/comeys-firing-meets-disapproval-but-view-of-trump-little-changed-poll-2017-05-15 accessed May 15, 2017
● 川普免聯邦調查局長職對一般民眾看法影嚮不大。倒是參議院兩黨議員都不以為然。很難說川普因此而很快下台。
2017.5.16
Polls: Americans Don’t Want Trump to Be Impeached
InvestingChannel, MAY 25, 2017
http://newscdn.newsrep.net/h5/nrshare.html?r=3&lan=en_WD&pid=14&id=dyd3a8d99jy_wd&app_lan&mcc=466&declared_lan=en_WD&pubaccount=ocms_0&referrer=200620&showall=1 accessed May 25, 2017
● President Trump may finish his term due to favorable economic indicators, grassroots public support, and CIA/FBI credibility damaged by unfavorable May 21 New York Times report on informant network broken by Beijing due to slackened discipline. Russiangate investigation on Trump & associates is therefore weakened.
Chong-Pin Lin May 25, 2017
● 川普應可作完一任。不排除連任。
● 民調顯示: 多數人民54%不認為通俄門有証據。甚至52% 人民認為：無論有無證據，川普都不會被彈劾。
● 川普幕後安排紐約時報洩露CIA 在中國及台灣情報網被北京破解。此舉弱化了調查川 普通俄門的美國情報組織:CIA,FBI etc.(林穎佑教授高見)
● 美國經濟指標上升，有利川普。
2017.5.25
How a Special Counsel Alters the Russia Investigation
CHARLIE SAVAGE, The New York Times, MAY 17, 2017
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/17/us/politics/special-counsel-in-russia-investigation-raises-stakes-for-trump.html accessed May 24, 2017
● 倫敦經濟學人2017.5.20說:美國任命獨立法官調查川普通俄門案件，他將會追蹤到底。真的嗎?請看紐約時報2017.5.20那篇深度分析。
● 雖然美國司法部任命獨立法官調查川普通俄門案，但他仍受制於司法部，而後者受制於川普。川普作完這任，不無可能。
● 目前美國經濟指標皆上揚，有利川普。
● 反川普民調比支持川普民調多出有限。
● 參議院共合黨員有反川普，但眾議院共和黨反川普不明顯。
林中斌 2017.5.24
● Is Mr.Mueller fully independent? No.
● The Justice Department will control Mr. Mueller's budget.
● Can Mr. Rosenstein overrule Mr. Mueller's decisions? Apparently.
Chong-Pin Lin May 24, 2017
Killing C.I.A. Informants, China Crippled U.S. Spying Operations
2017/05/20 The New York Times
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/05/20/world/asia/china-cia-spies-espionage.html?_r=0
accessed May 20, 2017
● 2010-2012 北京"凍結"了約20位美國中情局在中國的線人。其中之一當同事面在政府大樓的天井中被槍殺。
● 美國在中國情報工作蒙受重大損失。
● 美國滲透台灣情報組織的也受影響。
林中斌 2017.5.21
舍弟林中明仿毛澤東狂詩。分享。
人性與愛的25張照片
2016/12/22 身邊的那點事
http://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/VegBbi04zAuc6tRwHhqvqQ
● 基督的博愛。孟子的惻隱之心。釋迦的慈悲。不分老幼、尊卑、膚色的人皆有之。有之者不僅人而已。有情眾生皆然。
林中斌 2016.12.25 聖誕節
Superstition ain’t the way
The Economist, Sept 3, 2016
accessed Sept 3, 2016
修行者蒂帕嬤的心得
Advice of a Spiritual Teacher DipaMa
Before the Law
Franz Kafka
http://www.kafka-online.info/before-the-law.html
獲獎美國記者，揭露ISIS和「反恐戰爭」的真正起源
2015/11/18 橘報 黃靖軒
https://buzzorange.com/2015/11/18/isis-rise/
accessed July 8, 2016
歷史上的大帝國無人可摧毀，除了自己以外。
美國幫助賓拉登崛起，
美國幫助海珊崛起，
美國再幫助ISIS崛起。
但是美國不同於其他帝國，會自我反省。
正如這精采得獎的記者所做，
美國帝國不會像其他帝國迅速衰落，
美國只會非常緩慢的下降。
廿、卅年後，美國依然重要，但不再如今日風光。
林中斌 2016.7.8
https://youtu.be/hA9GVqMyDqY
出版書籍/books published (9) 論文與評論/papers & opeds (4) 講演與受訪/speeches & interviews (2) 全球磁變/Global shift (1) 休閒/leisure (9) 授課資料/teaching (4) 心靈探索/Spiritual Exploration (2)
